Modelling the pandemic
Attuning models to their contexts
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 21879853 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Tammy Rhodes (0000-0003-2400-9838, UNSW Sydney, corresponding author), K Lancaster (0000-0002-2411-7970, UNSW Sydney), Shelley Susan Lee (0000-0003-0062-7930, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Melissa Parker (0000-0003-0829-2741, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine) |
| Year | 2020 |
| Volume | 5 |
| Issue | 6 |
| Pages | e002914 |
| Publication date | 2020-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | BMJ Global Health (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2059-7908 • E-ISSN: 2059-7908 |
| Publisher | BMJ (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002914 |
| PMID | 32565430 |
| OpenAlex | W3036030138 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 27 |
| References cited | 53 |
The evidence produced in mathematical models plays a key role in shaping policy decisions in pandemics. A key question is therefore how well pandemic models relate to their implementation contexts. Drawing on the cases of Ebola and influenza, we map how sociological and anthropological research contributes in the modelling of pandemics to consider lessons for COVID-19. We show how models detach from their implementation contexts through their connections with global narratives of pandemic response, and how sociological and anthropological research can help to locate models differently. This potentiates multiple models of pandemic response attuned to their emerging situations in an iterative and adaptive science. We propose a more open approach to the modelling of pandemics which envisages the model as an intervention of deliberation in situations of evolving uncertainty. This challenges the ‘business-as-usual’ of evidence-based approaches in global health by accentuating all science, within and beyond pandemics, as ‘emergent’ and ‘adaptive’
Computer security · Deliberation · Economics · Management science · Pandemic · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Medicine · Viral Infections and Outbreaks Research · Zoonotic diseases and public health
Pandemic Preparedness for the Real World
On Digital Models
The Corona Truth Wars
Negotiating the Role of Anthropological Evidence in Medical Research during Health Emergencies
Introduction to the Special Issue
Covid-19 and the health of people who use drugs
The Zika case
Is There Always a Negative Causality between Human Health and Environmental Degradation? Current Evidence from Rural China
A dynamic approach to support outbreak management using reinforcement learning and semi-connected Seiqr models
Epistemic preparedness
A call for citizen science in pandemic preparedness and response
The pitfalls of modelling the effects of Covid-19 on gender-based violence
Modelling the Covid-19 pandemic in context
National health governance, science and the media
Empowering the crowd
In search of a ‘good number’
Epidemiological modelling in refugee and internally displaced people settlements
Representations of an Ebola ‘outbreak’ through Story Technologies
Shaping epidemic dynamics
Epidemiological models and Covid-19
Post-pandemic transformations
Excitable models
Why We Need Political Values in Epidemic Modelling
Early warnings and slow deaths
Contesting the crisis narrative
Making pandemics big
Pandemic modelling and model citizens
Unprepared
Feasibility of controlling Covid-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia
Mitigating the wider health effects of covid-19 pandemic response
Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic
Engaging ‘communities’
Pandemicity, Covid-19 and the limits of public health ‘science’
Preparedness for the next epidemic
A model society
Plausible uncertainty’
Australia’s pandemic influenza ‘Protect’ phase
How to think with models and targets
Making evidence and policy in public health emergencies
Impact of interventions and the incidence of ebola virus disease in Liberia—implications for future epidemics
The social and political lives of zoonotic disease models
Evidence-making interventions in health
An Uncertain Risk
The symbolic violence of 'outbreak
Mathematical models as public troubles in Covid-19 infection control
On the coloniality of global public health
Peripheral Vision
Epidemics (Especially Ebola)
Using model-based evidence in the governance of pandemics
Governing Future Potential Biothreats
Why Has Critique Run out of Steam? From Matters of Fact to Matters of Concern
Ebola and Public Authority
| Unique citing works | 27 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 4,5 |
| Citation span | 2020 - 2026 (7) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 20 |