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No magic bullet

Limiting in-school transmission in the face of variable Sars-CoV-2 viral loads

Bibliographic Data

ID22077660
AuthorsDebra Van Egeren (0000-0002-4017-0413, Cornell University), Madison Stoddard (0000-0001-9853-8500), Abir Malakar (Jadavpur University), Debayan Ghosh (0000-0003-2674-4190, Jadavpur University), Antu Acharya (Jadavpur University), Sk Mainuddin (Jadavpur University), Biswajit Majumdar (Jadavpur University), Deborah Luo, Ryan P Nolan (0000-0003-2214-7436, Halozyme Therapeutics (United States)), Diane Joseph-McCarthy, Diane Joseph‐McCarthy (0000-0001-9685-6177, Boston University), Laura F White (0000-0002-0588-8235, Boston University), Natasha S Hochberg (0000-0002-5449-9973, Boston University), Saikat Basu (0000-0003-1464-8425, South Dakota State University), Arijit Chakravarty (0000-0003-1338-5432, corresponding author)
Year2022
Volume10
Pages941773-941773
Publication date2022-12-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2022.941773
PMID36530725
OpenAlexW4310772456
LanguageEN
References cited56

In the face of a long-running pandemic, understanding the drivers of ongoing SARS-CoV-2 transmission is crucial for the rational management of COVID-19 disease burden. Keeping schools open has emerged as a vital societal imperative during the pandemic, but in-school transmission of SARS-CoV-2 can contribute to further prolonging the pandemic. In this context, the role of schools in driving SARS-CoV-2 transmission acquires critical importance. Here we model in-school transmission from first principles to investigate the effectiveness of layered mitigation strategies on limiting in-school spread. We examined the effect of masks and air quality (ventilation, filtration and ionizers) on steady-state viral load in classrooms, as well as on the number of particles inhaled by an uninfected person. The effectiveness of these measures in limiting viral transmission was assessed for variants with different levels of mean viral load (ancestral, Delta, Omicron). Our results suggest that a layered mitigation strategy can be used effectively to limit in-school transmission, with certain limitations. First, poorly designed strategies (insufficient ventilation, no masks, staying open under high levels of community transmission) will permit in-school spread even if some level of mitigation is present. Second, for viral variants that are sufficiently contagious, it may be difficult to construct any set of interventions capable of blocking transmission once an infected individual is present, underscoring the importance of other measures. Our findings provide practical recommendations; in particular, the use of a layered mitigation strategy that is designed to limit transmission, with other measures such as frequent surveillance testing and smaller class sizes (such as by offering remote schooling options to those who prefer it) as needed

Biology · Disease · Limiting · Pandemic · Psychological intervention · Telecommunications · Viral load · Virus · Computer Science · COVID-19 and Mental Health · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Engineering · Infection Control and Ventilation · Medicine · Virology

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