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Cardiovascular disease risk

It is complicated, but race and ethnicity are key, a Bayesian network analysis

Bibliographic Data

ID22088515
AuthorsNicole P Bowles (0000-0003-3729-7082, Oregon Health & Science University, corresponding author), Yimin He (0000-0001-9925-6783, University of Georgia), Yueng-hsiang Huang (0000-0002-7498-7800, Oregon Health & Science University), Eric C Stecker (0000-0002-6162-9561, Oregon Health & Science University), Azizi Seixas (0000-0003-0843-2679, University of Miami), Saurabh S Thosar (0000-0002-5075-4340, Oregon Health & Science University, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume12
Pages1364730-1364730
Publication date2024-06-10
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueFrontiers in Public Health (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2296-2565 • E-ISSN: 2296-2565
PublisherFrontiers Media SA (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3389/fpubh.2024.1364730
PMID38915752
OpenAlexW4399558962
LanguageEN
References cited45

Background: Cardiovascular diseases are the leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the United States. Despite the complexity of cardiovascular disease etiology, we do not fully comprehend the interactions between non-modifiable factors (e.g., age, sex, and race) and modifiable risk factors (e.g., health behaviors and occupational exposures). Objective: We examined proximal and distal drivers of cardiovascular disease and elucidated the interactions between modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors. Methods: We used a machine learning approach on four cohorts (2005-2012) of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data to examine the effects of risk factors on cardiovascular risk quantified by the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE). We estimated a network of risk factors, computed their strength centrality, closeness, and betweenness centrality, and computed a Bayesian network embodied in a directed acyclic graph. Results: In addition to traditional factors such as body mass index and physical activity, race and ethnicity and exposure to heavy metals are the most adjacent drivers of PCE. In addition to the factors directly affecting PCE, sleep complaints had an immediate adverse effect on FRS. Exposure to heavy metals is the link between race and ethnicity and FRS. Conclusion: Heavy metal exposures and race/ethnicity have similar proximal effects on cardiovascular disease risk as traditional clinical and lifestyle risk factors, such as physical activity and body mass. Our findings support the inclusion of diverse racial and ethnic groups in all cardiovascular research and the consideration of the social environment in clinical decision-making

Body mass index · Cohort · Disease · Environmental health · Ethnic group · Framingham Risk Score · National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey · Population · Cardiovascular Health and Risk Factors · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Demography · Health, Environment, Cognitive Aging · Medicine · Gerontology · Internal Medicine

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