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Is Education a Risky Investment? The Scarring Effect of University Dropout in Sweden

Bibliographic Data

ID2236052
AuthorsMartin Hällsten (0000-0003-3660-9996, Stockholm University, corresponding author)
Year2017
Pagesjcw053
Publication date2017-01-06
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueEuropean Sociological Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0266-7215 • E-ISSN: 1468-2672
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/esr/jcw053
OpenAlexW2571106593
LanguageEN
Citations received12
References cited19

A number of theoretical models of educational decision-making assume that education is a risky investment, but the empirical evidence of those risks is scant. This article analyses the link between educational failure and future adverse outcomes using Swedish register data. Drawing on the concept of risk inherent in the Breen-Goldthorpe model of educational decision-making-that staying on in school and failing leads to downward mobility-this article estimates the risk of university dropout in terms of future labour market exclusion, where dropouts are compared to never entrants of tertiary education. To rule out unobserved differences between the groups, sibling fixed effects are paired with controls for ability, non-cognitive skills, and life course events. The results show scarring effects of university dropout on labour market marginalization, although the scarring effects are small. This lends some support for the assumption that entering higher levels of education involves a risk of downward mobility.

Actuarial science · Demographic economics · Dropout (neural networks) · Economic growth · Economics · Higher education · Investment (military) · Labour economics · Political science · Social mobility · Sociology · Higher Education Research Studies · Intergenerational and Educational Inequality Studies · Labor market dynamics and wage inequality · Psychology · Social Psychology

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    Open Access•M Neugebauer, Annabell Daniel•Studienerfolg und Studienabbruch•2021

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Unique citing works12
Citations per year1,33
Citation span2017 - 2026 (10)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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