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Predicting a few or many friends in schoolchildren

A machine learning approach

Bibliographic Data

ID22411131
AuthorsJosé Ventura-León (0000-0003-2996-4244, Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Privada del Norte, corresponding author), Goldie Gamboa‐Melgar (0000-0003-4972-5777, Psicología, Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas), Jonathan Ruiz-Castro (0000-0003-1800-2533, Escuela de Psicología, Universidad Continental), Cristopher Lino‐cruz (0000-0001-7873-2402, Psicología, Universidad Peruana de Ciencias Aplicadas), Shirley Tocto‐muñoz (0000-0002-4485-5639, Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Privada del Norte)
Year2026
Pages1-16
Publication date2026-06-18
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Journal of General Psychology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-1309 • E-ISSN: 1940-0888
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00221309.2026.2687378
PMID42313573
OpenAlexW7165147553
LanguageEN
References cited60

Machine learning algorithms were used to determine whether Peruvian 8–12-year-olds (N = 730) believe they have many or few friends based on sociodemographic and psychological variables. Theoretical variables were depression (PHQ-8), subjective well-being (SWB-3), sorrow, bullying, and birthplace. With stratified 10-fold cross-validation, the easyML R package examined six algorithms: Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Machine, Neural Network, Logistic Regression, and Decision Tree. The cross-validation pipeline used SMOTE to correct class imbalance (25.6% few vs. 74.4% many friends). Logistic Regression had the greatest ROC-AUC (0.663 in cross-validation, 0.673 on the test set) and no overfitting (CV-test gap = −0.010). The greatest SHAP predictor was subjective well-being, followed by depression and birthplace. Youden’s J index threshold optimization (optimal = 0.44) increased classification accuracy from 64.6% to 72.8%. Psychology predicts friendship perception in youngsters, with well-being outweighing clinical symptomatology.

Artificial neural network · Class (philosophy) · Logistic regression · Overfitting · Perception · Pipeline (software) · Random forest · Support vector machine · Attachment and Relationship Dynamics · Bullying, Victimization, and Aggression · Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development

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