Large‐scale redistribution of maximum fisheries catch potential in the global ocean under climate change
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23315445 |
|---|---|
| Authors | William W L Cheung (0000-0001-9998-0384, University of East Anglia, corresponding author), Vicky W Y Lam (0000-0002-1931-0514, University of British Columbia), Jorge L Sarmiento (0000-0001-5219-2604, Princeton University), Kelly Kearney (0000-0002-6152-5236, Princeton University), Reg Watson, Reg A Watson (0000-0001-7201-8865, University of British Columbia), Dirk Zeller (0000-0001-7304-4125, University of British Columbia), Daniel Pauly (0000-0003-3756-4793, University of British Columbia) |
| Year | 2010 |
| Volume | 16 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 24-35 |
| Publication date | 2010-01-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Global Change Biology (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1354-1013 • E-ISSN: 1365-2486 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.01995.x |
| OpenAlex | W2153905523 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 95 |
| References cited | 33 |
Previous projection of climate change impacts on global food supply focuses solely on production from terrestrial biomes, ignoring the large contribution of animal protein from marine capture fisheries. Here, we project changes in global catch potential for 1066 species of exploited marine fish and invertebrates from 2005 to 2055 under climate change scenarios. We show that climate change may lead to large‐scale redistribution of global catch potential, with an average of 30–70% increase in high‐latitude regions and a drop of up to 40% in the tropics. Moreover, maximum catch potential declines considerably in the southward margins of semienclosed seas while it increases in poleward tips of continental shelf margins. Such changes are most apparent in the Pacific Ocean. Among the 20 most important fishing Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) regions in terms of their total landings, EEZ regions with the highest increase in catch potential by 2055 include Norway, Greenland, the United States (Alaska) and Russia (Asia). On the contrary, EEZ regions with the biggest loss in maximum catch potential include Indonesia, the United States (excluding Alaska and Hawaii), Chile and China. Many highly impacted regions, particularly those in the tropics, are socioeconomically vulnerable to these changes. Thus, our results indicate the need to develop adaptation policy that could minimize climate change impacts through fisheries. The study also provides information that may be useful to evaluate fisheries management options under climate change.
Biology · Biome · Climate change · Ecosystem · Exclusive economic zone · Fishery · Fishing · Geography · Tropics · Coral and Marine Ecosystems Studies · Ecology · Environmental Science · Geology · Marine and fisheries research · Marine Bivalve and Aquaculture Studies · Oceanography
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The ocean, climate change and resilience
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The living infinite
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A global science–policy partnership for progress toward sustainability of oceanic ecosystems and fisheries
Global assessments of the status of marine exploited ecosystems and their management
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Can we meet the Target? Status and future trends for fisheries sustainability
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Alternative Conservation Paradigms and Ecological Knowledge of Small-Scale Artisanal Fishers in a Changing Marine Scenario in Argentina
Fishers’ perceptions and adaptation on climate change in northeastern Taiwan
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| Unique citing works | 95 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 5,94 |
| Citation span | 2010 - 2025 (16) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 85 |