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Understanding the Long‐run Decline in Interstate Migration

Bibliographic Data

ID23319980
AuthorsGreg Kaplan (0000-0001-5104-8707, University of Chicago and NBER U.S.A., corresponding author), Sam Schulhofer‐wohl (Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago U.S.A.)
Year2017
Volume58
Issue1
Pages57-94
Publication date2017-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Economic Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-6598 • E-ISSN: 1468-2354
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/iere.12209
OpenAlexW3121611830
LanguageEN
Citations received61
References cited35

We analyze the secular decline in gross interstate migration in the United States from 1991 to 2011. We argue that migration fell because of a decline in the geographic specificity of returns to occupations, together with an increase in workers' ability to learn about other locations before moving. Micro data on earnings and occupations across space provide evidence for lower geographic specificity. Other explanations do not fit the data. A calibrated model formalizes the geographic specificity and information mechanisms and is consistent with cross‐sectional and time‐series evidence. Our mechanisms can explain at least half of the decline in migration.

Cartography · Demographic economics · Earnings · Econometrics · Economic geography · Economics · Fell · Geography · Secular variation · Sociology · Demography · Finance · Migration and Labor Dynamics · Regional Economics and Spatial Analysis · Urban, Neighborhood, and Segregation Studies

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Unique citing works61
Citations per year6,78
Citation span2017 - 2026 (10)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 57

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