Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Causal diagrams for empirical research

Bibliographic Data

ID23355145
AuthorsJudea Pearl (University of California, Los Angeles, corresponding author)
Year1995
Volume82
Issue4
Pages669-688
Publication date1995-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueBiometrika (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0006-3444 • E-ISSN: 1464-3510
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1093/biomet/82.4.669
OpenAlexW2049910836
LanguageEN
Citations received167
References cited7

The primary aim of this paper is to show how graphical models can be used as a mathematical language for integrating statistical and subject-matter information. In particular, the paper develops a principled, nonparametric framework for causal inference, in which diagrams are queried to determine if the assumptions available are sufficient for identifying causal effects from nonexperimental data. If so the diagrams can be queried to produce mathematical expressions for causal effects in terms of observed distributions; otherwise, the diagrams can be queried to suggest additional observations or auxiliary experiments from which the desired inferences can be obtained.

Causal inference · Causal model · Data mining · Econometrics · Inference · Nonparametric statistics · Statistical inference · Statistics · Artificial Intelligence · Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference · Computer Science · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods and Inference · Theoretical Computer Science

  • Toward Integrated Analysis of Human Impacts on Forest Biodiversity

    Open Access•Adrian C Newton, Luis Cayuela et al.•Conservation Ecology•2009

  • Influence of chronic hepatitis C infection on the monocyte-to-platelet ratio

    Open Access•Aidan M Nikiforuk, Mohammad Ehsanul Karim et al.•BMC Public Health•2021

  • Oksági következtetések

    Open Access•Zsófia Rakovics•Szociológiai Szemle•2022

  • Interpretation and identification of causal mediation.

    Judea Pearl•Psychological Methods•2014

  • Expérimentation, inférence statistique et analyse causale

    Bruno Lecoutre•Intellectica Revue de l…•2004

  • Wright’s path analysis

    Open Access•Zili Dong•THEORIA An International Journal…•2024

  • Analysis of Semiparametric Regression Models for Repeated Outcomes in the Presence of Missing Data

    James M Robins, Andrea Rotnitzky et al.•Journal of the American…•1995

  • Causation

    Open Access•Nancy Cartwright•Philosophy of Science•2004

  • The Tetrad Project

    Richard Scheines, Peter Spirtes et al.•Multivariate Behavioral Research•1998

  • Causality in the sciences

    Phyllis Illari, N Cartwright et al.•Causality in the sciences•2011

  • The impact of teenage pregnancy on school dropout in Brazil

    Open Access•Emerson Cruz, Fabio Gagliardi Cozman et al.•BMC Public Health•2021

  • Mediators, moderators, and modulators of causal effects in clinical trials––Dynamically Modified Outcomes (Dynamo) in health-related quality of life

    Open Access•Gary Donaldson, Gary W Donaldson et al.•Quality of Life Research•2009

  • Reply to Humphreys and Freedman's Review of Causation, Prediction, and Search

    Peter Spirtes, Clark Glymour et al.•The British Journal for the…•1997

  • Inferential Meta‐Themes in Organizational Science Research

    Open Access•Richard P Deshon•Handbook of Psychology, Second…•2012

  • Latent Structure and Causal Variables

    Open Access•Peter Spirtes•International Encyclopedia of the…•2015

  • Longitudinal Causal Inference

    Open Access•Miguel A Hernán, James M Robins•International Encyclopedia of the…•2015

  • Marginal Structural Models and Causal Inference in Epidemiology

    James M Robins, Miguel A Hernán et al.•Epidemiology•2000

  • Quantifying Biases in Causal Models

    Sander Greenland•Epidemiology•2003

  • Thinking Clearly About Correlations and Causation

    Open Access•Julia M Rohrer•Advances in Methods and Practices…•2018

  • A Structural Approach to Selection Bias

    Miguel A Hernán, Sonia Hernández-Díaz et al.•Epidemiology•2004

  • Graphical Causal Models

    Felix Elwert•Handbook of Causal Analysis for…•2013

  • Statistical Control Requires Causal Justification

    Open Access•Anna Wysocki, Anna C Wysocki et al.•Advances in Methods and Practices…•2022

  • The Table 2 Fallacy

    Daniel Westreich, Sander Greenland•American Journal of Epidemiology•2013

  • To Explain or to Predict?

    Galit Shmueli•Statistical Science•2010

  • Overadjustment Bias and Unnecessary Adjustment in Epidemiologic Studies

    Enrique F Schisterman, Stephen R Cole et al.•Epidemiology•2009

  • Illustrating bias due to conditioning on a collider

    Stephen R Cole, Robert W Platt et al.•International Journal of…•2010

  • Causal impact of masks, policies, behavior on early covid-19 pandemic in the U.S.

    Open Access•Victor Chernozhukov, Hiroyuki Kasahara et al.•Journal of Econometrics•2021

  • Sexualized drug use (‘chemsex’) and high‐risk sexual behaviours in HIV ‐positive men who have sex with men

    Open Access•EL Pufall, Meaghan Kall et al.•HIV Medicine•2018

  • Principles of confounder selection

    Open Access•Tyler J Vanderweele•European Journal of Epidemiology•2019

  • Causal inference in statistics

    Open Access•Judea Pearl•Statistics Surveys•2009

  • Causes and Explanations

    Joseph Y Halpern, Judea Pearl•The British Journal for the…•2005

  • Causes and Explanations

    Joseph Y Halpern, Judea Pearl•The British Journal for the…•2005

  • Replication and the Manufacture of Scientific Inferences

    Fernando Martel Garcia•International Studies Perspectives•2016

  • Short-Term Cumulative Exposure to Ambient Traffic-Related Black Carbon and Blood Pressure

    Open Access•Zypher Jude G Regencia, Godofreda V Dalmacion et al.•International Journal of…•2021

  • Impact of Physical Contact on Preterm Infants’ Vital Sign Response to Live Music Therapy

    Open Access•Susann Kobus, Marlis Diezel et al.•International Journal of…•2022

  • Prenatal Metal Exposures and Infants’ Developmental Outcomes in a Navajo Population

    Open Access•Sara S Nozadi, Li Li et al.•International Journal of…•2021

  • An Introduction to Rational Constructivism in Cognitive Development

    Open Access•Rebekah A Gelpí, Pablo León-Villagrá et al.•Topics in Cognitive Science•2026

  • A Communication‐First Account of Explanation

    Open Access•Jacqueline Harding, Tobias Gerstenberg et al.•Noûs•2026

  • A Tutorial on Aligning Questions and Models in Causal Mediation Analysis

    Juyoung Jung, Ariel M Aloe•The Journal of Experimental…•2026

  • How analysis of mobile app reviews problematises linguistic approaches to internet troll detection

    Open Access•Sergei Monakhov•Humanities and Social Sciences…•2021

  • Beyond Objects in Space-Time

    Open Access•Saeed Rahimi, Antoni Moore et al.•ISPRS International Journal of…•2021

  • Closing the gap on institutional delivery in northern India

    Open Access•Vincent Huang, Vincent S Huang et al.•BMJ Global Health•2020

  • To Be Fair

    Open Access•Caspar Van Lissa, Aaron Peikert et al.•Perspectives on Psychological…•2026

  • Regression discontinuity designs in education

    Open Access•Youmi Suk•Asia Pacific Education Review•2024

  • Introduction to causal graphs for education researchers

    Open Access•Yi Feng•Asia Pacific Education Review•2024

  • Population Growth and Human Welfare

    Open Access•Gabriel X Martinez, Society of Catholic Social Scientists•Catholic Social Science Review•2024

  • Associations of Quantity Smoked and Socioeconomic Status With Smoke-Free Homes and Cars Among Daily Smokers

    Open Access•Annie Pelekanakis, Jennifer L O’loughlin et al.•Health Education & Behavior•2022

  • Bayesian Causal Mediation Analysis with Latent Mediators and Survival Outcome

    Rongqian Sun, Xiaoxiao Zhou et al.•Structural Equation Modeling: A…•2021

  • Psychological risk and protective factors of immunity

    Open Access•Rebecca A Chalmers, Matti Cervin et al.•Current Psychology•2025

  • Causal reasoning with causal graphs in educational technology research

    Open Access•J Weidlich, Benjamin Hicks et al.•Educational Technology Research…•2024

  • Causal variables in the community of inquiry

    Open Access•Eelis J A Mikkola, Mika Perälä et al.•International Journal of…•2024

  • Price relationship among domestic and imported beef products in South Korea

    Open Access•Hanpil Moon, Jun Ho Seok•Empirical Economics•2021

  • Using causal graphs to test for the direction of instantaneous causality between economic policy uncertainty and stock market volatility

    Open Access•Burkhard Raunig•Empirical Economics•2023

  • The Paper of How

    Open Access•Marc F Bellemare, Jeffrey R Bloem et al.•Oxford Bulletin of Economics and…•2024

  • Spatial Causality

    Open Access•Kamal Akbari, Stephan Winter et al.•Geographical Analysis•2023

  • Using peer review to evaluate the societal relevance of humanities research

    Open Access•Stijn Conix, Leander Vignero et al.•Quantitative Science Studies•2025

  • The Case For Time in Causal DAGs

    Open Access•Alexander Gilbert Reisach, Alberto Suárez et al.•Philosophy of Science•2026

  • Shared Challenges and Solutions

    Open Access•Xun Pang•Chinese Political Science Review•2016

  • Does Microfinance Improve the Household Welfare of Ethnic Minorities? Evidence from Bac Kan Province, Vietnam

    Open Access•Ha Thu Vu, Vu Ha Thu et al.•Progress in Development Studies•2020

  • Data graphs and mechanistic explanation

    Open Access•Daniel C Burnston•Studies in History and Philosophy…•2016

  • Observation or intervention? Inference with Bayesian belief networks in tourism research

    Yonggang Lu, Qiujie Zheng•Current Issues in Tourism•2026

  • Should trans people be postmodernist in the streets but positivist in the spreadsheets? A reply to Sullivan

    Andrew J B Fugard, Andi Fugard•International Journal of Social…•2020

  • The theory crisis in criminology

    Open Access•Caitlin S Ducate, Sarah R Bostrom et al.•Theoretical Criminology•2025

  • A graphical method for causal program attribution in theory-based evaluation

    Open Access•Rodney Schmidt•Evaluation•2024

  • Impact of the positive list system (PLS) on the banana market in Korea

    Jun Ho Seok, Gwanseon Kim•Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy•2020

  • Environmental education excursions and proximity to urban green space – densification in a ‘compact city’

    M Wolsink•Environmental Education Research•2015

  • Causal Mediation Analysis

    Open Access•Luke Keele•American Journal of Evaluation•2015

  • Infant mortality in Turkey

    Open Access•Fırat Bilgel•Papers of the Regional Science…•2020

  • Conditional Direction of Dependence Modeling

    Open Access•Xintong Li, Matthew P Martens et al.•Social Science Computer Review•2022

  • Impacts of sustainability certification on farm income

    Open Access•Duc Tran, Daisaku Goto•Food Policy•2018

  • Food environment in the United States as a complex economic system

    Open Access•Senarath Dharmasena, David A Bessler et al.•Food Policy•2016

  • Effects of trade and agricultural policies on the structure of the U.S. tomato industry

    Open Access•Maria P Perez, Luis A Ribera et al.•Food Policy•2017

  • Cross-Sectional Model-Building for Research on Subjective Well-Being

    Open Access•Dave Bartram•Social Indicators Research•2021

  • Causal discovery in urban data with temporal empirical dynamic modeling

    Open Access•Wenbo Lyu, Yangyang Lei et al.•Computers Environment and Urban…•2026

  • Subjective Cognitive Impairment (SCI) and Future Dementia Risk in the National Health and Aging Trends Study (NHATS) During 2012–2019

    Open Access•Emmanuel F Drabo, Jennifer L Wolff et al.•Journal of Aging and Health•2025

  • The YouTube Apparatus

    Open Access•Kevin Munger•YouTube Apparatus•2024

  • Rates of ecological knowledge learning in Pemba, Tanzania

    Open Access•I Pretelli, M B Mulder et al.•Evolutionary Human Sciences•2022

  • Investigating environmental effects on phonology using diachronic models

    Open Access•Frederik Hartmann, Seán G Robert et al.•Evolutionary Human Sciences•2024

  • Household food insecurity and health in a high-migration area in rural Honduras

    Open Access•Sanjeev Kumar, Nicholas A Christakis et al.•SSM - Population Health•2021

  • Intimate partner violence is associated with cytomegalovirus among young women in rural South Africa

    Open Access•Nicole K Kelly, Francesc Xavier Gómez-Olivé et al.•Global Public Health•2023

  • Impact of Food Insecurity on Depressive Symptoms Among HIV–HCV Co-infected People

    Open Access•Canadian Co-infection Cohort Investigators, Wusiman Aibibula et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2017

  • Joint Effects in Cross-Lagged Panel Research Using Structural Nested Mean Models

    Open Access•Jeroen D Mulder, Satoshi Usami et al.•Structural Equation Modeling: A…•2024

  • Actores, relaciones estructurales y causalidad en la innovación inclusiva

    Open Access•Nayeli Velázquez, Gabriela Dutrénit et al.•Innovar•2018

  • The Foundations of Causal Inference

    Open Access•Judea Pearl•Sociological Methodology•2010

  • Beyond pigmentocracy

    Open Access•Javier Castillo, Mauricio Salgado•Frontiers in Sociology•2026

  • Structural Equation Model Averaging

    Loraine Seng, Loraine Liping Seng et al.•Journal of Business and Economic…•2022

  • Haldane's Lungs

    Roderick P McDonald•Multivariate Behavioral Research•1997

  • The Role of Time in the Quest for Understanding Psychological Mechanisms

    Open Access•Manuel C Voelkle, Christian Gische et al.•Multivariate Behavioral Research•2018

  • Tetrad and SEM

    Judea Pearl•Multivariate Behavioral Research•1998

  • Reply to Comments

    Richard Schienes, Peter Spirtes et al.•Multivariate Behavioral Research•1998

  • Mind wandering and cognitive load in subtitled educational videos

    Open Access•Mariana Yonamine, Xiaoyu Zhao et al.•Perspectives•2026

  • Genes, culture, and the human niche

    Open Access•M J O''Brien, R A Bentley•Evolutionary Anthropology Issues…•2021

  • On Causal Inference and the Limits of Disproportionality as a Construct

    Fred Wulczyn•Social Service Review•2023

  • Causality is good for practice

    Open Access•Simone Busetti•Policy Sciences•2023

  • Introducing the Many-Analysts Religion Project

    Suzanne Hoogeveen, Alexandra Sarafoglou et al.•Religion Brain & Behavior•2023

  • The relationship between food insecurity and overweight/obesity differs by birthplace and length of US residence

    Open Access•Suzanne Ryan-Ibarra, Suzanne Ryan‐Ibarra et al.•Public Health Nutrition•2017

  • Challenging the hegemony of randomized controlled trials

    Open Access•Judea Pearl•Social Science & Medicine•2018

  • Evaluations of agri-environmental schemes based on observational farm data

    Open Access•Reinhard Uehleke, Martin Petrick et al.•Land Use Policy•2022

  • The Receipt of Subsidized Housing across Generations

    Open Access•Yana Kucheva, Yana A Kucheva•Population Research and Policy…•2014

  • Escaping Nazi deportation and temporary protection status

    Open Access•Peter Tammes•Historical Methods A Journal of…•2025

  • Structural Equation Models in the Social Sciences

    Arthur S & Otis Duncan Goldberger•Structural Equation Models in the…•1973

  • Causation, Prediction, and Search

    Open Access•Peter Spirtes, Clark Glymour et al.•Causation, Prediction, and Search•1993

  • The Consquences of Adjustment for a Concomitant Variable That Has Been Affected by the Treatment

    Paul R Rosenbaum•Journal of the Royal Statistical…•1984

  • The Statistical Implications of a System of Simultaneous Equations

    Trygve Haavelmo•Econometrica•1943

  • The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects

    Paul R Rosenbaum, Donald B Rubin•Biometrika•1983

  • Estimating causal effects of treatments in randomized and nonrandomized studies.

    Donald B Rubin•Journal of Educational Psychology•1974

  • Correlation and Causation

    Victor R Martuza, D A Kenny•Educational Researcher•1981

Unique citing works167
Citations per year5,39
Citation span1995 - 2026 (32)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 157

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae