Causal decision theory
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23376259 |
|---|---|
| Authors | David Lewis (0000-0002-0253-5530, Princeton University, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1981 |
| Volume | 59 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 5-30 |
| Publication date | 1981-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Australasian Journal of Philosophy (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0004-8402 • E-ISSN: 1470-6828 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/00048408112340011 |
| OpenAlex | W2038908222 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 135 |
Newcomb's problem and similar cases show the need to incorporate causal distinctions into the theory of rational decision; the usual noncausal decision theory, though simpler, does not always give the right answers. I give my own version of causal decision theory, compare it with versions offered by several other authors, and suggest that the versions have more in common than meets the eye.
Business decision mapping · Causal decision theory · Causal model · Causal theory of reference · Decision analysis · Decision theory · Epistemology · Evidential decision theory · Evidential reasoning approach · Mathematical economics · Statistics · Computer Science · Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics · Mathematics · Philosophy · Philosophy and History of Science · Philosophy and Theoretical Science
Modality and Explanatory Reasoning
What ifs
Strategy as Intellectual History
Reward tampering problems and solutions in reinforcement learning
Newcomb’s problem and its conditional evidence
Basing for the Bayesian
Accurate Updating
Newcomb's Problem and Repeated Prisoners’ Dilemmas
The Evolution of Bayesian Updating
Conditional Excluded Middle without the Limit Assumption
Subjunctive Credences and Semantic Humility
Causal Decision Theory
Cheating Death in Damascus
Accuracy and the Laws of Credence
Rational Decision and Causality
Explaining Value
Prisoner's Dilemma, One Shot and Iterated
Rationales Handeln/Rationalität bei Weber und Esset im Vergleich
Evolution of the Social Contract
Value, Reality, and Desire
Laws and Symmetry
Must rational intentions maximize utility
The Absurdity of Rational Choice
Prediction Impairs Deliberation
Sometimes It Is Better to Do Nothing
Algorithmic Fairness Criteria as Evidence
How to Model Lexical Priority
Counterfactual Decision Theory Is Causal Decision Theory
Radical Misinterpretation
The mathematical machinery of causal inference
Rational updating at the crossroads
Future generations and the evidential veil of ignorance
Attitude verbs’ local context
Decision Theory and De Minimis Risk
The Value of Evidence and Ratificationism
Choosing with Unknown Causal Information
Deference and decision
Tickles, iteration, and habits
Evidence, causality, and sequential choice
Imaging and the diachronic Dutch Book
Comparativism About Instrumental Value
A causal theory of suppositional reasoning
Rational monism and rational pluralism
Dynamic consistency in the logic of decision
Tournament decision theory
Logic will get you from A to B, imagination will take you anywhere
Fragmentation and logical omniscience
Planning for Mistakes
Absolution of a Causal Decision Theorist
Decision and foreknowledge
Ultimate-Humeanism
Uncertain preferences in rational decision
Determinism, Counterfactuals, and Decision
Can It Be Irrational to Knowingly Choose the Best
Riches and Rationality
Causal Decision Theory, Two-Boxing, and Deliberation-Compatibilism
Hamilton meets causal decision theory
Agency, Causation, and Empiricism
Explaining Value
Moral Agent and Impartial Spectator
Representational Scepticism
From Nomic Humeanism to Normative Relativism 1
On Giving Yourself a Sign
How do instructions help us make rational decisions
Killing, letting die, and normative inertia
Epistemic Utility Theory and the Aim of Belief
Dutch‐booking indicative conditionals
Decision, causality, and predetermination
Causal decision theory, context, and determinism
Why Take Both Boxes
Diachronic Dutch Books and Evidential Import
A Deliberative Approach to Causation
Options and Diachronic Tragedy
Against Counterfactual Miracles
Causation, Chance, and the Rational Significance of Supernatural Evidence
Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory
Decision-Theoretic Paradoxes as Voting Paradoxes
On the Individuation of Choice Options
Objective chance, indicative conditionals and decision theory; or, how you can be smart, rich and keep on smoking
Causal Decision Theory and EPR correlations
Desires, beliefs and conditional desirability
Making best systems best for us
Causal decision theory’s predetermination problem
Material foundations of ecological rationality
Against causal decision theory
Standard and non-standard Newcomb Problems
A critique of benchmark theory
Conditionals in causal decision theory
Clark Glymour’s responses to the contributions to the Synthese special issue “Causation, probability, and truth
Do we really need a knowledge-based decision theory
Reversing 30 years of discussion
Choice and conditional expected utility
Regret and instability in causal decision theory
The Popcorn Problem
Circumstances and dominance in a causal decision theory
Are Newcomb problems really decisions
Approval-directed agency and the decision theory of Newcomb-like problems
Radical interpretation and decision theory
Non-dominance, third person and non-action Newcomb problems, and metatickles
Conditioning, intervening, and decision
| Unique citing works | 135 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3,14 |
| Citation span | 1983 - 2026 (44) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 122 |