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A Survival Analysis of Childhood Family History

Bibliographic Data

ID2588560
AuthorsDavid M Fergusson (0000-0002-8117-017X, corresponding author), L John Horwood (0000-0003-4881-1956), M E Dimond, Margaret Dimond
Year1985
Volume47
Issue2
Pages287
Publication date1985-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Marriage and the Family (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-2445 • E-ISSN: 1741-3737
PublisherJSTOR (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/352129
OpenAlexW2034117504
LanguageEN
Citations received4
References cited7

The history of family placement was studied in a birth cohort of New Zealand preschool children. This showed the presence of a complex process of change over time. By 6 years, 16% of children born to two-parent families had experienced a family breakdown; and extrapolation of these trends suggests that by the time this cohort reaches 16 years about 35% to 40% of children born to two-parent families will have experienced family breakdown. For children whose parents separate, it was estimated that over 70% would re-enter a two-parent family within four years of the family breakdown as a result of eitherparental reconciliation or remarriage. The survival probabilities of these second two-parent families were poor, with over two-thirds of reconciliations and over half of remarriages ending in breakdown within four years. Of the children born to single-parent families, over twothirds had entered two-parent families by 6 years. However, the survival probabilities of these families were poor, and estimates suggested that within four years nearly two-thirds of these families had broken down. These findings suggest that, once children left the traditional two-parent family, there was a strong possibility that they would be exposed to multiple situations involving both marriage formation and breakdown. Various implications of these findings are discussed

Cohort · Developmental psychology · Family history · Nuclear family · Remarriage · Sibling · Sociology · Stepfamily · Assisted Reproductive Technology and Twin Pregnancy · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Intergenerational Family Dynamics and Caregiving · Medicine · Psychology

  • Modeling the days of our lives

    Judith D Singer, John B Willett•Psychological Bulletin•1991

  • The Effect of Preschool Children on Family Stability

    David M Fergusson, L John Horwood et al.•Journal of Marriage and the Family•1990

  • Early intervention

    Louise B Miller•Peabody Journal of Education•1987

  • Conceptualising the Family

    Open Access•Jan Trost•International Sociology•1988

  • Divorce

    E Mavis Hetherington•American Psychologist•1979

  • Marital Disruption and the Lives of Children

    Open Access•Mary Jo Bane•Journal of Social Issues•1976

  • An Economic Analysis of Marital Instability

    Gary S Becker, Elisabeth M Landes et al.•Journal of Political Economy•1977

  • Differentials in Marital Instability

    Larry L Bumpa, Larry L Bumpass et al.•American Sociological Review•1972

  • A Proportional Hazards Model of Family Breakdown

    David M Fergusson, L John Horwood et al.•Journal of Marriage and the Family•1984

  • The Measurement of Family Material Well-Being

    David M Fergusson, L John Horwood et al.•Journal of Marriage and the Family•1981

  • Remarriage as an Incomplete Institution

    Andrew J Cherlin, Andrew Cherlin•American Journal of Sociology•1978

Unique citing works4
Citations per year0,1
Citation span1987 - 1991 (5)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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