The Difference Between Short and Long Run Effects of Police Outlays on Crime

Policing Deters Criminals Initially, But Later They May 'Learn by Doing

Bibliographic Data

ID2772959
AuthorsJoseph Friedman (0000-0002-5225-3267), Joseph H Friedman (0000-0003-2534-4160, Bar-Ilan University), Simon Hakim (Bar-Ilan University), Uriel Spiegel (Bar-Ilan University)
Year1989
Volume48
Issue2
Pages177-191
Publication date1989-04-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Economics and Sociology (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0002-9246 • E-ISSN: 1536-7150
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1536-7150.1989.tb02115.x
OpenAlexW2008527524
LanguageEN
Citations received10
References cited15

In the long run a positive relationship of police expenditurescrime is derived in models which explain criminal behavior In the short run, however, the statistical results point to the possible deterring effect of police expenditures. A theoretical model is constructed to explain the statistical difference of the short and long run effect of police outlays on crime. As police expenditures increase, crime level diminishes. As time elapses, criminals may adjust to the new level of police effort, improve their performance and at the same level of outlays, increase their criminal activities. This phenomenon could be termed "Criminals'Learning by Doing". It could explain why, over the long run, the level of crime is positively associated with police expenditures. The empirical analysis examines pooled cross sectional time series of 47 states over the period 1970 to 1980-a total of 517 cases

Criminology · Demographic economics · Economics · Monetary economics · Point (geometry) · Short run · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Mathematics · Psychology · Regulation and Compliance Studies

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