A Theory of the Budgetary Process
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3763152 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Otto A Davis (Carnegie Institution for Science), M A H Dempster (0000-0002-7213-5399), Aaron Wildavsky (University of California, Berkeley) |
| Year | 1966 |
| Volume | 60 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 529-547 |
| Publication date | 1966-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Political Science Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/1952969 |
| OpenAlex | W2017133100 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 206 |
| References cited | 13 |
There are striking regularities in the budgetary process. The evidence from over half of the non-defense agencies indicates that the behavior of the budgetary process of the United States government results in aggregate decisions similar to those produced by a set of simple decision rules that are linear and temporally stable. For the agencies considered, certain equations are specified and compared with data composed of agency requests (through the Bureau of the Budget) and Congressional appropriations from 1947 through 1963. The comparison indicates that these equations summarize accurately aggregate outcomes of the budgetary process for each agency.In the first section of the paper we present an analytic summary of the federal budgetary process, and we explain why basic features of the process lead us to believe that it can be represented by simple models which are stable over periods of time, linear, and stochastic. In the second section we propose and discuss the alternative specifications for the agency-Budget Bureau and Congressional decision equations. The empirical results are presented in section three. In section four we provide evidence on deviant cases, discuss predictions, and future work to explore some of the problems indicated by this kind of analysis. An appendix contains informal definitions and a discussion of the statistical terminology used in the paper
Agency (philosophy · Aggregate (composite · Aggregate data · Econometrics · Economics · Government (linguistics · Mathematical economics · Operations research · Process (computing · Section (typography · Set (abstract data type · Simple (philosophy · Sociology · Statistics · Terminology · Accounting · Computer Science · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Local Government Finance and Decentralization · Mathematics
Políticas De C,t&i
Unpacking the Multiplier
Bounded Rationality
The Art and Craft of Policy Analysis
Elections, Parties, Democracy
Techniques for Testing the Constancy of Regression Relationships Over Time
The elusive median voter
The Growth of the Public Sector in Austria
Formal political theory
Politischer Opportunismus und Haushaltsdefizite in den westdeutschen Bundesländern
Voters’ influence on local tax policy
Do what we did last year, but do not stray too far from the pack
Bureaucracy, Monopoly, and Competition
Six Decades of Public Policy
Arms Race and Military Expenditure Models
The federal budget's core and periphery
Long-run and short-run budgeting
Patterns of change
United arab emirates federal budgetary process
Applying punctuated equilibrium theory to municipal and county operating and capital budgets
Models of Change
Changing Public Policy
Stability and change in US city policymaking
Redeveloping Athens
O orçamento público brasileiro e a perspectiva emancipatória
Adaptive Incrementalism and Complexity
Punctuated Equilibrium in Latin American Democracies
La vrai nature de … la Révolution tranquille
Ensaio teórico sobre a teoria do equilíbrio pontuado
A Theory of Decision-Making
Deterrence and the Arms Race
Bureaus, Clients, and Congress
Sophisticated Reaction in the U.S.-Soviet Arms Race
Bibliography of recent works in non-market decision making
Local government service production
A rational theory of the federal budgeting process
Developments in Comparative Policy Studies
Punctuated Equilibrium in Latin American Budgets
Deterrence Theory in Paraguay
Fiscal Marksmanship of Child Budget and its Implications for Child Development
The Changing Shape of Welfare Policy in Korea
Bureaucratic Politics and Aid Allocation
Attention, institutional friction, and punctuated equilibrium in China's budget
Presidential‐Congressional Budget Agreement, 1949–1995
Views on the hill
Specifying and Contextualising Predictive Theories of Democratic Policy Representation
The problem of allocating resources to defense
Charles Lindblom is alive and well and living in punctuated equilibrium land
Still budgeting by muddling through
A Comparative Test of the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory
Debt and Punishment
H Erbert A. S Imon
The Contributions of President Aaron Wildavsky
Perspectives on the growth of police bureaucracies, 1948–1984
All the News That Fits to Print
A Selected Bibliography of Arms Race Models and Related Subjects
Mechanisms of Checks and Balances
The item veto in the states
Hard Times for Presidential Leadership? (And How Would We Know?)
The Post-Coup Military Spending Question Revisited, 1960–2000
Taiwan's calculus on military spending
Rules of military retaliation and their practice by the state of Israel
Risky races? Curvature change and the war risk in arms racing
Top-Down Budgeting, Fiscal Stress and Budgeting Theory
Ordering Chaos
On Models and the French Political System
The Politics of Budget Execution
Use It or Lose It
Federal open market committee decisions in a markov process
The flypaper effect
A note on supplemental appropriations in the federal budgetary process
In memoriam
Location, location, location
Economic analysis of the non-profit institution — The case of the private university
On the process of budgeting
Budgetary support for police services in U.S. municipalities
Regional allocation of public infrastructure investment
Incrementalism in Appropriations
Policy Punctuations in Danish Local Budgeting
Policy punctuations in the UK
Theories of budgetary decisionmaking and revenue decline
Games presidents do and do not play
Situational Normativism
Budgetary research in transition
Waste, weapons, and resolve
When Are Juridically Autonomous Agencies Responsive to Elected Officials? A Simulation Based on the Costa Rican Case
Cutback management literature in the 1970s and 1980s
Analysis of Structural Variability in Budget‐Making
Newspapers and Budgeting
Public Policy, Socioeconomic Conditions, & the Political System
Some Notes on the Domain of Public Policy Studies
Dealing with Austerity
Exploring the Role of Materials in Policy Change
Policy Punctuations
Action publique et partis politiques
State Budget Deliberations
A Taxonomy of Measurement Objectives for Policy Impact Analysis
The decline of incrementalism in U.S. lawmaking
Patterns of Influence and Choice in the Wisconsin Budgetary Process
Modeling Politico-Economic Interactions Within and Between Nations
Varieties of political theory.
A Strategy of Decision
Elements of a theory of human problem solving.
Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions
Sociological Law and the Deviant Case
Linear Aggregation of Economic Relations
Linear Aggregation of Economic Relations
A Behavioral Model of Rational Choice
A Scalogram Analysis of Political Development
The House Appropriations Committee as a Political System
| Unique citing works | 206 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3,43 |
| Citation span | 1966 - 2026 (61) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 204 |