A Causal Analysis of the Defense Expenditures of the USA and the USSR
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3917221 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Hector Correa (Graduate School of Public and International Affairs, University of Pittsburgh & Growth Dynamics University Institute, Erasmus University of Rotterdam), Jiwon Kim (0000-0002-1896-8832, Sungkyunkwan University), Ji-Won Kim (Sungkyunkwan University) |
| Year | 1992 |
| Volume | 29 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 161-174 |
| Publication date | 1992-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343392029002004 |
| OpenAlex | W2171761177 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 5 |
| References cited | 24 |
Statistical studies of the determinants of defense expenditures have been criticized on two counts: (a) most of them do not test the hypotheses of causality that they include, but simply use them as a point of departure, and (b) those that do test causality are restricted to conceptual models with very few explanatory variables. The objective of this paper is to study the defense expenditures of the USA and the USSR, explicitly avoiding these two limitations. This is done using elementary statistical methods in somewhat unorthodox ways. The conclusions of the analyses are carefully compared with those obtained by other authors and the differences encountered are explained as far as possible. The analyses and comparisons show that the defense expenditures of the USA are determined by their own inertia and by political factors within the country, while those of the USSR are determined by their own inertia and the conditions of relations with the USA. The interest of these results is not in their novelty, but in the fact that they are obtained with procedures designed to provide a more solid foundation
Causality (physics) · Econometrics · Economics · Inertia · Novelty · Operations research · Point (geometry) · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Statistical hypothesis testing · Statistics · Test (biology) · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · Economic Growth and Productivity · Engineering · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Law · Mathematics · Psychology · Social Psychology
The wages of war, 1816-1965
Time Series Analysis
The Soviet Union
Arms races
Neither Tension nor Détente
U.S. Defense Spending, Electoral Cycles, and Soviet-American Relations
U.S. Defense Spending and the Soviet Estimate
Mathematical Models of the U.S. Military Expenditure Decision-making Process
Evaluating Alternative Foreign Policy Decision-Making Models
Arms Race Modeling
Military Spending in the United States, Soviet Union, and the People's Republic of China
A Cybernetic Model of the US Defense Expenditure Policymaking Process
Macroeconomic Conditions and Fluctuations of Presidential Popularity
Granger Causality and the Times Series Analysis of Political Relationships
Expectations and Arms Races
Vector Autoregression and the Study of Politics
Progress in the Study of International Conflict
The Illusion of Choice
Influences on Executive and Congressional Budgetary Priorities, 1955-1981
Historical Statistics of the United States, Colonial Times to 1957
| Unique citing works | 5 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,16 |
| Citation span | 1995 - 2019 (25) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 4 |