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Not loving thy neighbour as thyself

Trade, democracy and military expenditure explanations underlying India-Pakistan rivalry

Bibliographic Data

ID3917904
AuthorsSyed Mansoob Murshed (0000-0002-8360-033X, Birmingham Business School; Institute of Social Studies (ISS); and Centre for the Study of Civil War (CSCW), PRIO, corresponding author), Dawood Mamoon (Pakistan Institute of Trade and Development (PITAD), Islamabad, corresponding author)
Year2010
Volume47
Issue4
Pages463-476
Publication date2010-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343310364577
OpenAlexW2018507211
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited27

This article analyses whether greater international trade, democracy and reduced military spending lower hostility between India and Pakistan. Conflict between the two nations can be best understood in a multivariate framework where variables such as economic performance, multilateral trade with the rest of the world, bilateral trade, military expenditure, democracy scores and population are simultaneously taken into account. The empirical investigation is based on time series econometrics from 1950- 2005, allowing causality to be examined. The results suggest that reduced bilateral trade, greater military expenditure, less development expenditure, lower levels of democracy, lower growth rates and less general trade openness are all conflict enhancing, albeit with lags in some cases. Moreover, there is reverse causality between bilateral trade, militarization and conflict; low levels of bilateral trade and high militarization are conflict enhancing, but conflict also reduces bilateral trade and raises militarization. Economic growth is conflict mitigating, but the reverse is not true. Globalization, or greater openness to trade with the rest of the world, is the most significant driver of a liberal peace, corroborating a modified form of the capitalist peace, rather than a common democratic political orientation suggested by the pure form of the Kantian liberal peace

Bilateral trade · Democracy · Development economics · Economics · Globalization · International economics · International trade · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Militarization · Openness to experience · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Rivalry · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · International Development and Aid · Law · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,2
Citation span2011 - 2024 (14)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3

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