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A spatial analysis of the impact of West German television on protest mobilization during the East German revolution

Bibliographic Data

ID3918448
AuthorsCharles Crabtree (0000-0001-5144-8671, Pennsylvania State University), David Darmofal (0000-0002-1659-2018, University of South Carolina), Holger L Kern (Florida State University), Holger Kern (Florida State University, corresponding author)
Year2015
Volume52
Issue3
Pages269-284
Publication date2015-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Peace Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022343314554245
OpenAlexW2144479639
LanguageEN
Citations received38
References cited64

Formal models of revolutionary collective action suggest that 'informational cascades' play a crucial role in overcoming collective action problems. These models highlight how information about the aggregate level of participation in collective action conveys information about others' political preferences, and how such informational cues allow potential participants to update their beliefs about the value of participating in antiregime collective action. In authoritarian regimes, foreign mass media are often the only credible source of information about antiregime protests. However, limited robust evidence exists on whether foreign media can indeed serve as a coordination device for collective action. This article makes use of a detailed dataset on protest events during the 1989 East German revolution and exploits the fact that West German television broadcasts could be received in most but not all parts of East Germany. Across a wide range of Cox proportional hazards models and conditional on a rich set of observables, it finds that the availability of West German television did not affect the probability of protest events occurring. The evidence presented here does not support the widely accepted 'fact' that West German television served as a coordination device for antiregime protests during the East German revolution. More broadly, it also calls into question strong claims about the effects of communication technology on revolutionary collective action

Action (physics) · Authoritarianism · Collective action · Computer security · Democracy · Exploit · German · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · History · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies

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Unique citing works38
Citations per year3,45
Citation span2015 - 2026 (12)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 38

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