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When Trade Hits Home

Distributional Effects of Trade and Populist Voting Across Space

Bibliographic Data

ID3948581
AuthorsStefan Hee (0009-0009-5078-9381, University of Salzburg, corresponding author)
Year2025
Volume31
Issue1
Pages1-29
Publication date2025-04-15
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueGeopolitics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1465-0045 • E-ISSN: 1557-3028
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/14650045.2025.2485209
OpenAlexW4409473676
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited50

The liberalisation of international trade has produced winners and losers that cluster regionally. Yet, the political consequences of these geographical differences are not fully understood. This article presents the concept of place, introducing an integrative framework to explain how the distributional effects of trade translate into populist voting patterns, bridging economic and sociocultural explanations. When confronted with the opaque distributional effects of trade, citizens rely on their social environment for information, aligning their political behaviour accordingly. This study advances existing literature empirically by directly measuring subnational trade competitiveness and analysing its interaction with the local sociocultural context. The fine-grained analysis of the 2022 French presidential election results reflects the places of social identity building. The results reveal a negative relationship between competitiveness and populist voting, primarily driven by right-wing populism. In contrast, places with higher shares of migrants and lower competitiveness experience a relatively more left-wing populist response

Economics · International trade · Political science · Politics · Voting · Computer Science · Global trade and economics · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Populism, Right-Wing Movements

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1

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