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Food Price Surges

Possible Causes, Past Experience, and Longer Term Relevance

Bibliographic Data

ID4121068
AuthorsNikos Alexandratos
Year2008
Volume34
Issue4
Pages663-697
Publication date2008-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1728-4457.2008.00245.x
OpenAlexW2022020060
LanguageEN
Citations received11
References cited16

The food price surges of recent years have created much misery and raised once again the Malthusian specter. Increases in the demand for food in the emerging economies, particularly China and India, have frequently been identified as the dominant factor behind a perceived shock on the demand side. Use of crops for biofuels was listed as an additional, though less important, factor. Yet global cereals utilization without biofuels has been growing at slowly decelerating rates, as in the past. It is the addition of biofuels that has resulted in its growing faster than in the past. In parallel, global production had been falling behind utilization for several years, leading to declining stocks. Weather shocks, depreciation of the dollar, and turbulence in the financial markets were added to these fundamentals of the supply-demand balance to generate the price surges. If energy prices remain high and/or rising and pro-biofuel policies remain in place, the diversion of crops to biofuels is likely to continue. This could prevent the current commodity cycle from unfolding in the "normal" way over the short to medium term with prices trending back toward their pre-surge levels. Conclusions are drawn about how these developments should influence the way we assess long-term food and agriculture prospects

Agricultural economics · Agriculture · Biofuel · Commodity · Depreciation (economics) · Economics · Food prices · Food security · Liberian dollar · Market economy · Monetary economics · Natural resource economics · Agricultural risk and resilience · Finance · Global Energy and Sustainability Research · Market Dynamics and Volatility

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Unique citing works11
Citations per year0,65
Citation span2009 - 2024 (16)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 10

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