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Does the Threat of Border Apprehension Deter Undocumented US Immigration

Bibliographic Data

ID4122587
AuthorsThomas J Espenshade (corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume20
Issue4
Pages871
Publication date1994-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation and Development Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0098-7921 • E-ISSN: 1728-4457
PublisherJSTOR (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2137667
OpenAlexW2009794045
LanguageEN
Citations received37
References cited11

The study explores whether U.S. Border Patrol enforcement actively discourages undocumented migration at its source. Two models are compared. One includes such familiar determinants of undocumented migration as relative economic conditions between the United States and Mexico the size of the Mexican young-adult population and implementation of the 1986 Immigration Reform and Control Act. An alternative model relates the magnitude of undocumented migration to lagged monthly values of estimated apprehension probabilities on the assumption that migrants form expectations about the apprehension risks they will face on the basis of experiences of other recent undocumented migrants. The study shows not only that both models have some explanatory power but also that the influence of perceived risks of apprehension all but disappears when both sets of predictor variables are combined into a single model. (SUMMARY IN FRE AND SPA) (EXCERPT)

Apprehension · Border Security · Criminology · Illegal immigrants · Illegal immigration · Immigration · Law and economics · Political science · Sociology · Diaspora, migration, transnational identity · Law · Migration and Labor Dynamics · Migration, Refugees, and Integration · Psychology

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Unique citing works37
Citations per year1,19
Citation span1995 - 2025 (31)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 36

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