Internal and External Consistency in Multidimensional Population Projection Models
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4142371 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Nico Keilman (0000-0003-0163-3283, Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, corresponding author), N W Keilman (Netherlands Interuniversity Demographic Institute (NIDI), PO Box 955, 2270 AZ Voorburg, The Netherlands) |
| Year | 1985 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 11 |
| Pages | 1473-1498 |
| Publication date | 1985-11-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Environment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1068/a171473 |
| OpenAlex | W2052965230 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 8 |
| References cited | 7 |
In this paper the impact of consistency requirements upon the formulation of multidimensional population projection models is dealt with. The problem of internal consistency arises when certain output variables of the model have to be consistent with one another, as in models containing marital status (two-sex problem). External consistency problems arise when certain output variables have to satisfy externally specified restrictions. For instance, regional population projections may have to add up to national projections. The paper gives internal and external consistency algorithms, which control both for stock and for flow variables. Two approaches are discussed: a simple proportional adjustment for each relevant demographic component and an approach that minimises deviations in age-specific patterns of the input rates. Both algorithms are illustrated using data from the Netherlands. In the first illustration the internal consistency algorithm is applied to the age, sex, and marital-status-specific model of the official 1980 national population forecasts. In the second, external consistency is considered within the context of the multiregional projection model which was constructed for the regional population forecasts for the Netherlands
Algorithm · Econometrics · Geography · Internal consistency · Population · Population growth · Population projection · Statistics · Computer Science · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics · Artificial Intelligence
Market Power and Labor Share
Evaluating Probabilistic Population Forecasts
World Population Prospects – A Long View
Dimensions in Global Projections
Méthodes de micro-simulation pour des projections de population
Microsimulation methods for population projection
Lipro 2.0
Families and Households, Formal Demography of
On the Use of Matrices in Certain Population Mathematics
Nuptiality models and the two-sex problem in national population forecasts
The Harmonic Mean as the Basis of a Realistic Two-Sex Marriage Model
A Method for Disaggregate Household Forecasts
Introduction of Multiregional Mathematical Demography
Shrinking Large-Scale Population-Projection Models by Aggregation and Decomposition
| Unique citing works | 8 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,24 |
| Citation span | 1992 - 2020 (29) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 1 |