Assessing the Potential Impact of the HIV-1 Epidemic on Orphanhood and the Demographic Structure of Populations in sub-Saharan Africa

Bibliographic Data

ID4267688
AuthorsSarah Gregson (0000-0003-2707-0714), Simon Gregson, Geoffrey P Garnett, Roxanne Marie Anderson (0000-0002-9528-3175, University of Oxford), Roy M Anderson
Year1994
Volume48
Issue3
Pages435-458
Publication date1994-11-01
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/0032472031000147966
OpenAlexW2027857636
LanguageEN
Citations received6

Much of the debate on the demographic consequences of the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa has so far centred around the plausibility of population declines in areas where unprecendently high rates of population growth have recently been in evidence. In this article, the authors use a mathematical model, which combines epidemiological and demographic processes, to illustrate how, under a broad range of impacts on population growth, major changes in demographic features, such as the extent of orphanhood within populations, are likely to occur. At the same time, HIV epidemics are liable to cause significant shifts in the age and sex composition of affected populations, which may have important implications for the ways in which they are best able to cope with the increases in orphanhood, as well as those in infant, early childhood and adult mortality

Age structure · Biology · Demographic analysis · Developed country · Geography · Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) · Population · Population growth · Sociology · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Demography · HIV/AIDS Impact and Responses · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare · Virology

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