Mortality-fertility synergies during the demographic transition in the developed world

Bibliographic Data

ID4268808
AuthorsJesús J Sánchez-Barricarte, Jesús Javier Sánchez Barricarte (0000-0001-8015-1842, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid), Edward W Gondolf (corresponding author)
Year2017
Volume71
Issue2
Pages155-170
Publication date2017-05-04
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenuePopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.2017.1294701
OpenAlexW28398130
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited21

The classic theory used to explain the demographic transition assumes that mortality is the key explanatory variable influencing the decline in fertility. However, the empirical results obtained in what is known as the Princeton European Fertility Project have led many specialists to question this assumption. Using both national and provincial aggregated data for 25 countries over a long time span, the analysis reported in this paper found that mortality does indeed play a fundamental role in accounting for the main demographic changes that occurred both before and during the transitional period. Others' research based on individual data has shown clearly that the number of surviving children was indeed an important factor for reproductive decisions. My analysis, using aggregated data, reached largely similar conclusions regarding the role of mortality in changing reproductive trends, via its impact on nuptiality and marital fertility at different stages of the demographic transition

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