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A Site-Level Market Model of the Antiquities Trade

Bibliographic Data

ID4282960
AuthorsFiona Greenland (0000-0003-3754-8443, Chicago College of Oriental Medicine, corresponding author), James V Marrone, James Marrone (Northwestern University), Oya Topçuoğlu (Northwestern University), Tasha Vorderstrasse (Northwestern University)
Year2019
Volume26
Issue1
Pages21-47
Publication date2019-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Journal of Cultural Property (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0940-7391 • E-ISSN: 1465-7317
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0940739119000018
OpenAlexW2944216979
LanguageEN
Citations received12
References cited32

Archaeological looting correlates with a number of problems, including the destruction of stratigraphic data and the damage and loss of artifacts. Looting is also understood to generate revenue, but systematic analysis of this issue is challenged by its opacity: how can we study the economic effects of archaeological looting when the practice is rarely directly observable? To address this problem, we estimate the market value of archaeological sites where artifacts have been previously excavated and documented, using a machine-learning approach. The first step uses 41,587 sales of objects from 33 firms to train an algorithm to predict the distribution channel, lot packaging, and estimated sale price of objects based on their observable characteristics. The second step uses the trained algorithm to estimate the value of sites in which a large number of artifacts have been legally excavated and documented. We make an out-of-sample prediction on two Syrian sites, Tell Bi'a and Dura Europos

Archaeology · Artifact (error · Cave · Economics · Excavation · Looting · Observable · Revenue · Sample (material · Value (mathematics · Archaeological Research and Protection · Art History and Market Analysis · Computer Science · History · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Artificial Intelligence · Finance

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  • Introduction

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Unique citing works12
Citations per year1,71
Citation span2019 - 2026 (8)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 12

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