Bayesianism and wishful thinking are compatible
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4680922 |
|---|---|
| Authors | David E Melnikoff (0000-0002-7090-9995, Stanford Medicine, corresponding author), Nina Strohminger (0000-0002-9239-6561, University of Pennsylvania) |
| Year | 2024 |
| Volume | 8 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 692-701 |
| Publication date | 2024-02-23 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Nature Human Behaviour (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 2397-3374 • E-ISSN: 2397-3374 |
| Publisher | Springer Science and Business Media LLC (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41562-024-01819-6 |
| PMID | 38396212 |
| OpenAlex | W4392104295 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 7 |
| References cited | 47 |
Epistemology · Wishful thinking · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Neural and Behavioral Psychology Studies · Philosophy · Psychology · Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment · Social Psychology
Large Language Models and Conversational Counter-Arguments to Anti-Public Sector Bias
Wishful thinking in response to events
Confirmation bias emerges from an approximation to Bayesian reasoning
Selective traits and general rewards
Belief polarization can be caused by disagreements over source independence
Unraveling authoritarian reform decision‐making
Bayes versus bias in human reasoning
Bayesian Rationality
Stochastic models for learning.
A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance
The evolution and psychology of self-deception
Mood as Information
Interoceptive predictions in the brain
Self-perception
Interoceptive inference, emotion, and the embodied self
Projection Bias in Predicting Future Utility
The theory of constructed emotion
Belief polarization is not always irrational.
How to Grow a Mind
Predicting Hunger
Why do humans reason? Arguments for an argumentative theory
How emotions inform judgment and regulate thought
Out of Control
Active interoceptive inference and the emotional brain
The Bayesian brain
Whatever next? Predictive brains, situated agents, and the future of cognitive science
The free-energy principle
The Predictive Mind
Hierarchical Bayesian models of delusion
Biased belief in the Bayesian brain
The evidence for motivated reasoning in climate change preference formation
Rational Irrationality
Rational Polarization
Emotion words, emotion concepts, and emotional development in children
Attitudes as prepared reflexes
All the Best Polls Agree with Me
On the motivational nature of cognitive dissonance
Biased assimilation and attitude polarization
Rational processing or rationalization? The effect of disconfirming information on a stated religious belief
The case for motivated reasoning
Growing a social brain
Emotion prediction errors guide socially adaptive behaviour
The automatic influence of advocacy on lawyers and novices
Cognitive consequences of forced compliance
| Unique citing works | 7 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3,5 |
| Citation span | 2024 - 2026 (3) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 4 |