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Target Hardening and Non-State Armed Groups' Target Selection

Evidence from India

Bibliographic Data

ID4818120
AuthorsIlayda B Onder (0000-0002-5712-8131, Department of Political Science, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA, corresponding author)
Year2024
Volume36
Issue8
Pages1105-1126
Publication date2024-11-16
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueTerrorism and Political Violence (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0954-6553 • E-ISSN: 1556-1836
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09546553.2023.2252917
OpenAlexW4387106760
LanguageEN
Citations received3

This study explores the variation in the non-state armed group (NSAGs)'s behavior concerning target selection. Scholars of transnational terrorism have investigated transnational NSAGs' target selection. However, we are still missing out on the most common form of terrorism, terrorism perpetrated by domestic NSAGs involved in civil conflicts. This paper’s novel contribution is to the understanding of domestic NSAGs’ strategic logic. I argue that hardening makes soft targets, including civilians, attractive targets when hard targets are no longer attractive. NSAGs tactically adapt to hardening by switching to soft targets or by displacing attacks to adjacent locations within their home country. The empirical results from data on relevant state-group dyads in India between 2004–2016 show that domestic NSAGs (1) switch to soft targets when faced with hardening, (2) less frequently target soft targets when more of their attacks against hard targets have been logistically successful, and (3) commit more attacks in their primary area of operation when more of their attacks in that location have been logistically successful. These findings emphasize a variety of ways through which domestic NSAGs adapt their tactics and underscore potential costs for target hardening

Commit · Criminology · Political economy · Political science · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · Terrorism · Computer Science · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Politics and Conflicts in Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Middle East · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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  • How Civilian Loyalties Shape Rebel-Led Victimization of Rebel Constituencies

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Citations per year3
Citation span2025 - 2026 (2)
Highly citedNo

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