Quality in Bayesian chronological models in archaeology
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4854497 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Alex Bayli (0000-0003-2782-1979, Historic England, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 47 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 677-700 |
| Publication date | 2015-08-08 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | World Archaeology (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0043-8243 • E-ISSN: 1470-1375 |
| Publisher | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/00438243.2015.1067640 |
| OpenAlex | W2263958115 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 128 |
| References cited | 68 |
Bayesian chronological modelling is fast becoming the method of choice for the interpretation of radiocarbon dates in archaeological and palaeoenvironmental studies around the world. Although software enabling the routine application of the method has been available for more than twenty years, more than half of published models have appeared in the past fiveyears. Unfortunately, the pace of development in statistical methodology has not been matched by the increased care in sample selection and reporting that is required for robust modelling. Barely half the applications considered in this article provide the information necessary to assess the models presented critically. This article discusses what information is required to allow the quality of Bayesian chronological models to be assessed, and provides check-lists for authors, editors and referees, in the hope of improving current practice
Archaeology · Bayesian inference · Bayesian probability · Bayesian statistics · Data science · Epistemology · Geography · Interpretation (philosophy · Pace · Quality (philosophy · Radiocarbon dating · Sample (material · Archaeology and ancient environmental studies · Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science · Historical and Cultural Archaeology Studies · History · Pacific and Southeast Asian Studies · Software
Wiggles, Plateaus, and Precision
Close to the edge
Microhistories and Temporal Continuities
La inferencia cronológica bayesana aplicada a la industria lítica de la Prehistoria Reciente
Early Regional Centers
Early Regional Centers
Monumental architecture at Aguada Fénix and the rise of Maya civilization
Bayesiansk kronologisk modellering som redskab i den lovpligtige arkæologi
Steinalderkeramikken fra Rogaland – en kronologisk studie
The role of radiocarbon dating in advancing Indigenous-led archaeological research agendas
Prehistoric Landscape Development and Romano-British Farming near Rossington, South Yorkshire
High-precision dating of Abrigo de La Boja (Murcia, Spain)
No time to waste. Evidence for communal waste management among hunter-gatherer-fishers at Riņņukalns, Latvia (5400-3200 BC)
Lethal and non-lethal encounters in an island setting
Bayesian Analysis of Haskett Projectile Point Radiocarbon Dates in the Intermountain West Demonstrates Contemporaneity with Clovis and Folsom Points
Towards New Demography Proxies and Regional Chronologies
Aproximación bayesiana a las dinámicas secuenciales de los campos de hoyos. El caso de Camí de Missena (La Pobla del Duc, València)
Radiocarbon dating of the Church of St. Margaret of Antioch in Kopčany (Slovakia)
Archaeological recontextualization and first direct 14C dating of a “pseudo-excise” decorated antler point from France (Pégourié Cave, Lot). Implications on the cultural geography of southwestern Europe during the Last Glacial Maximum
Arch14CZ
A new time
Negotiating power and community in Early Baekje
An Icar spatial model to reconstruct regional geographic variations in arrival times
Learning Across the Divide
Multi-scalar geoarchaeological investigations reveal new construction details and early chronology for the Peter Village enclosure, KY, USA
Bayesian modeling of Oneota tradition radiocarbon dates along the Des Moines River in central Iowa
Chauvet Cave's art remains undated
Xronos
Archaeological 14C assemblages and the Chavín Phenomenon in the Central Andes
Updated Peru archaeological radiocarbon database, 20,000–7000 14C BP
Improved ostrich eggshell and ungulate tooth enamel radiocarbon dating methods reveal Later Stone Age occupation in arid MIS 2 southern Somalia
Fruits arriving to the west. Introduction of cultivated fruits in the Iberian Peninsula
Modelling social Change
Town aggregation and abandonment during the era of urban transformations in the Cahokia region
Direct dating of human skeletal material from Ganj Dareh, Early Neolithic of the Iranian Zagros
Progression and Issues in the Mesoamerican Geospatial Revolution
Shellfish, Geophytes, and Sedentism on Early Holocene Santa Rosa Island, Alta California, USA
The complexities of dating island and coastal settlements
Do 14C dates always turn into an absolute chronology? The case of the Middle Neolithic in western Lesser Poland
The Post-excavation Analysis and Archiving of Outputs from Complex, Multi-period Landscape Investigations
Exploring Accumulation Rates of Shell Deposits Through Seasonality Data
Dating Medieval Masonry Buildings by Radiocarbon Analysis of Mortar-Entrapped Relict Limekiln Fuels—a Buildings Archaeology
Local and “Global” Perspectives on the Middle Woodland Southeast
A Report on the late 1st-2nd-century-AD Venice Lido III Sewn Timber Assemblage
Bayesian chronological modelling for early pottery in the far western Pacific
Arroyo formation impacts on an early dryland agricultural community in Northeastern Utah, USA
Placing radiocarbon dating at the center of collective archaeological practice
High-resolution dating of legacy collections from the Cedarland and Claiborne sites, southwest Mississippi
Contemplating the history and future of radiocarbon dating in the American Southeast
Reconstructing the full temporal range of archaeological phenomena from sparse data
A Bayesian approach to regional ceramic seriation and political history in the Southern Appalachian region (Northern Georgia) of the Southeastern United States
The chronology of archaeological assemblages based on an automatic Bayesian procedure
A Bayesian chronology for early domestic horse use in the Eastern Steppe
D landscape evolution reconstruction of the Magdalenian Roc-aux-Sorciers site (Vienne, France)
What are the dead for?” Bronze Age burials in a multi-period landscape at Bucklow Hill, Cheshire
Clarifying the Age of Initial Settlement Horizon in the Mariana Islands and the Impact of Hard Water
Revisiting Kalundu Mound, Zambia
The Dramatic Abandonment of a Late-Antique Settlement in the South Caucasus
La decoración excisa como indicador de procesos de interacción e intercambio durante el Bronce Final en el valle medio del Ebro. Reflexiones a partir de nuevos hallazgos y dataciones absolutas
C-based absolute chronology of the Malice culture reassessed
Beyond the Fens
Furness’s First Farmers
Stages, Periods, and Radiocarbon
Tracing the evidence of design
More-than-sequence
Early Upper Paleolithic blade technology in the Japanese Archipelago
A new MIS 3 radiocarbon chronology for Mochena Borago Rockshelter, SW Ethiopia
Radiocarbon, Big Data and International Heritage
Strategies for Sampling Difficult Archaeological Contexts and Improving the Quality of Radiocarbon Data
Radiocarbon Evidence for the Pace of the M-/L-PPNB Transition in 8th Millennium BC Southwest Asia
New Radiocarbon Dates and Bayesian Models for Nelson Bay Cave and Byneskranskop 1
IntCal20 Tree Rings
Spatiotemporal Patterns on the Appearance of the First Trapeze Industries in the Late Mesolithic of the Iberian Peninsula
Dating the Expansion of the Inca Empire
The Symbiosis of Lichenometry and Radiocarbon Dating
Tracing the Absolute Time-Frame of the Early Bronze Age in the Aegean
High-Precision Bayesian Chronological Modeling on a Calibration Plateau
Chronology of a Fortified Mississippian Village in the Central Illinois River Valley
Sequencing the Southern Iberian Late Neolithic hypogeum cemetery of La Beleña through radiocarbon dating and Bayesian modeling
Combining Oral Traditions and Bayesian Chronological Modeling to Understand Village Development in the Gulf of Papua (Papua New Guinea)
Enhancing Radiocarbon Chronologies of Colonization
Timing the Emergence and Development of Arable Farming in Southeastern Norway by Using Summed Probability Distribution of Radiocarbon Dates and a Bayesian Age Model
Late Chronology in Hualfín Valley (Catamarca, Argentina)
Bayesian analysis of the chronology of the Lynch site (25BD1) and comparisons to the Central Plains Tradition and Central Plains Oneota
Building a high‐resolution chronology of a medieval urban site through Bayesian modelling
Building an Accurate Chronology of Fremont Maize Horticulture in Northwestern Colorado
A modeling radiocarbon dating for the founding of Yan Vassal State in Western Zhou Dynasty
AMS 14C dating of an Ancestral Maya boomtown
A question of burial chronology
Great Pan Farm
Between the Vinča and Linearbandkeramik Worlds
Events, trends and the ‘Pompeii Premise
New Luminescence and Radiocarbon Dates for Kanem-Borno Fired-Brick Elite Sites in Kanem, Chad
Social change and late Holocene hydroclimate variability in southwest Indiana
Another brick in the wall
Multidecadal Climate Variability and the Florescence of Fremont Societies in Eastern Utah
Refined Radiocarbon Chronologies for Northern Iroquoian Site Sequences
The Timing of Precolumbian Militarization in the U.S. Midwest and Southeast
Middle Bronze Age societies and barrow line chronology. A case study from the Bukivna ‘necropolis’, Upper Dniester Basin, Ukraine
A Vinča potscape
Thinking from Things
Deposition models for chronological records
Flexible paleoclimate age-depth models using an autoregressive gamma process
Gathering Time
Evidence for Late Polynesian Colonization of New Zealand
A wiggle-match date for Polynesian settlement of New Zealand
BCal
Bwigg
Summed radiocarbon calibrations as a population proxy
A bayesian approach to wiggle-matching
High-precision dating and ancient DNA profiling of moa (Aves
Working with Radiocarbon Dates
Probability and Dating
New Radiocarbon Calibration Software
IntCal13 and Marine13 Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curves 0–50,000 Years cal BP
Development of the Radiocarbon Calibration Program
Workshop On 14 C Data Reporting
Evolution of Waterways and Early Human Settlements in the Eastern Baltic Area
Reporting 14 C Activities and Concentrations
International Agreements and the Use of the New Oxalic Acid Standard
Recent and Planned Developments of the Program OxCal
Dealing with Outliers and Offsets in Radiocarbon Dating
Conventions for Reporting Radiocarbon Determinations
Radiocarbon Calibration and Analysis of Stratigraphy
Radiocarbon Dating of the Early Bronze Age Cemetery at Arano, Verona, Northern Italy
Precise Calendrical Dating of Known Growth-Period Samples Using a ‘Curve Fitting’ Technique
Rolling Out Revolution
Bayesian Analysis of Radiocarbon Dates
Dating the Tavan Tolgoi Site, Mongolia
The Early Medieval Origin of Perth, Scotland
High-Precision Bayesian Modeling of Samples Susceptible to Inbuilt Age
Chronological Framework for the Early Talayotic Period in Menorca
Analyzing Radiocarbon Reservoir Offsets Through Stable Nitrogen Isotopes and Bayesian Modeling
Variations of Radiocarbon in Tree Rings
Wiggle Matching’ Radiocarbon Dates
Tell Sabi Abyad, Syria
Extended 14 C Data Base and Revised Calib 3.0 14 C Age Calibration Program
Developments in the Calibration and Modeling of Radiocarbon Dates
AMS Radiocarbon Dating of Tianma-Qucun Site in Shanxi, China
Business Meeting
A Bayesian Re-Assessment of the Earliest Radiocarbon Dates from Tiwanaku, Bolivia
Tell Sabi Abyad, Syria
High-Precision Radiocarbon Measurements of Contemporaneous Tree-Ring Dated Wood from the British Isles and New Zealand
Discussion Reporting of 14 C Data
Procedures for Comparing and Combining Radiocarbon Age Determinations
Summarizing a group of 14 C dates on the historical time scale
Radiocarbon chronology for the Early Gravettian of northern Europe
Franchthi Cave revisited
Bradshaw and Bayes
A Bayesian approach to dating agricultural terraces
New evidence for an early date for the Aegean Late Bronze Age and Thera eruption
The end of the affair
Iron Age inhumation burials at Yarnton, Oxfordshire
New perspectives on the Varna cemetery (Bulgaria) - AMS dates and social implications
The age of Stonehenge
Cutting a Gordian Knot
New research at Riņņukalns, a Neolithic freshwater shell midden in northern Latvia
Radiocarbon dating
The Neolithic burial sequence at Flintbek LA 3, north Germany, and its cart tracks
| Unique citing works | 128 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 11,64 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2026 (12) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 124 |