Resisting infection
How state capacity conditions conflict contagion
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4883313 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Andrea Braithwaite (0000-0002-7945-2223, Department of Political Science, University College London,, corresponding author), Alex Braithwaite |
| Year | 2010 |
| Volume | 47 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 311-319 |
| Publication date | 2010-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Peace Research (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-3433 • E-ISSN: 1460-3578 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022343310362164 |
| OpenAlex | W2138335840 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 85 |
| References cited | 33 |
The collapse of Mobutu's Zaire and the arrival of father and son Kabila regimes in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (hereafter, the DRC) were hastened by the dramatic and tumultuous spread of violence from neighboring Rwanda. Mobutu's state's inability to manage the influx of Hutu refugees (with Interahamwe militia members interspersed) into the Kivu province of eastern Zaire from Rwanda's bloody genocide of 1994 or to compensate for the ratcheting up of their cross-border skirmishes with the Banyamulenge (Zairean Tutsi) population in 1996, exacerbated extant tensions and has since resulted in more than a dozen years of civil war. This example prompts us to ask: are countries with higher levels of state capacity better able to resist the spread of violence from neighboring territories into their own? The author argues that when falsely divided notions of spatial heterogeneity and dependence are interacted, contagion from neighboring conflicts becomes a risk of diminishing value for increasingly capable states. A model of civil war contagion affirms a conditional hypothesis, showing that state capacity modifies the likelihood that a state will become infected by a civil conflict occurring in neighboring territories
Biology · Civil Conflict · Civil society · Criminology · Democracy · Development economics · Economics · Extant taxon · Genocide · Geography · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Population · Refugee · Sociology · Spanish Civil War · State (computer science) · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Demography · International Development and Aid · Law · Political Conflict and Governance
Analysis of Conflict Diffusion Over Continuous Space
Conflict and the changing geography of state capacity
Insurgency and Inaccessibility
Conflict Environments and Civil War Onset
Beyond Collateral Damage
A Theory of Regional Conflict Complexes
Building Reputation
Fragilité régionale, capacité de l’État et guerre civile (Regional Vulnerability, State Capacity, and Civil War)
State capacity and access to water
State Capacity in Responding to Covid-19
Measuring how armed conflict impacts economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa through spatial analysis
Fighting for survival
Preventive medicine
Keeping threat at arm’s length
An assessment of attributing public healthcare infrastructure damage in the Donbas five years after Euromaidan
The Afghanistan-Pakistan Wars, 2008-2009
Stifling stateness
Before the dominos fall
Relative political capacity
Dangerous neighborhoods
No Good Deed Goes Unpunished
Conditional cross-border effects of terrorism in China
An Epidemic Model of Violence and Public Support in Civil War
Arming for conflict, arming for peace? How small arms imports affect intrastate conflict risk
Minding Weber More Than Ever? The Impacts of State Capacity and Bureaucratic Autonomy on Development Goals
Introducing the Warring-States Japan Battle Data
State Capacity, Scalar Politics, and the Geographic Study of Civil Wars
Diffusion of protests in the Arab Spring
Transnational Transmitters
The uneven reach of the state
A theory of regional conflict complexes
Civil War from a Transnational Perspective
Power in Peacekeeping
Propaganda and Conflict
Towards the Ranking of the Importance of Revolutionary Destabilization Factors in Asian and African Countries Using Machine Learning Methods
Playing the stationary bandit
Fragilité régionale, capacité de l’État et guerre civile
What’s going on next door? Irregular leader change in neighboring countries, uncertainty, and civil war
Neighbouring an insurgency
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Humanitarian aid and host state capacity
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Violence and the perception of risk associated with hosting refugees
Oil Discoveries, Shifting Power, and Civil Conflict
The Intrastate Contagion of Ethnic Civil War
Networks of Violence
Trojan Horse, Copycat, or Scapegoat? Unpacking the Refugees-Terrorism Nexus
Autocratic Institutions and Civil Conflict Contagion
Spatial Dynamics of Election Violence
Protests and the Arab Spring
Does Information Lead to Emulation? Spatial Dependence in Anti-Government Violence
Spatial- and Spatiotemporal-Autoregressive Probit Models of Interdependent Binary Outcomes
When Conflicts Do Not Overspill
Legacies of Violence
Crowdseeding in Eastern Congo
Civil Conflicts Abroad, Foreign Fighters, and Terrorism at Home
Firewall? or Wall on Fire? A Unified Framework of Conflict Contagion and the Role of Ethnic Exclusion
Governance and Conflict Relapse
Contagious Rebellion and Preemptive Repression
Do Walls Work? The Effectiveness of Border Barriers in Containing the Cross-Border Spread of Violent Militancy
Roving Bandits? The Geographical Evolution of African Armed Conflicts
A Slippery Slope
Is Self-determination Contagious? A Spatial Analysis of the Spread of Self-Determination Claims
The Extraordinary Relationship between Peacekeeping and Peace
War as disease
Mission (im)possible? UN military peacekeeping operations in civil wars
Conflict contagion via weapons proliferation out of collapsed states
Riots and rebellion
Civil war violence and competing legitimacy claims
Roads and the diffusion of insurgent violence
Does criminal violence spread? Contagion and counter-contagion mechanisms of piracy
Scale-sensitive conflict analysis and the African Great Lakes wars
Less conflict, more peace? Understanding trends in conflict persistence
External territorial threat, state capacity, and civil war
Reexamining the Effect of Refugees on Civil Conflict
When have violent civil conflicts spread? Introducing a dataset of substate conflict contagion
Good for the money
Order beyond the state
The geo-temporal evolution of violence in civil conflicts
Dangerous lessons
Blame the victims? Refugees, state capacity, and non-state actor violence
Denial and punishment in the North Caucasus
Masters of their domains
Incentives and opportunities
Refugees, forced migration, and conflict
The Political Economy of Dictatorship
Spatial Econometrics
Bringing the State Back In
All International Politics Is Local
The Logic of Political Survival
The War Ledger
Conflict Diamonds
Fighting over Oil
Dude, Where’s My Conflict
Journal of Peace Research
Taking Time Seriously
Pre-Colonial Institutions, Post-Colonial States, and Economic Development in Tropical Africa
Understanding Interaction Models
Location, Location, Location
Economic Growth, Civil Wars, and Spatial Spillovers
Expanded Trade and GDP Data
Primary Commodity Exports and Civil War
A Diamond Curse
Contagion or Confusion? Why Conflicts Cluster in Space
Refugees and the Spread of Civil War
The Dynamics of Warfare
Institutional Inconsistency and Political Instability
Accounting for scale
Taming the Leviathan
The Geography of Civil War
Relative Capability and Rebel Objective in Civil War
Of rulers, rebels, and revenue
Transnational Dimensions of Civil War
The Geographic Spread of Militarized Disputes
Armed Conflict 1946-2001
Toward a Democratic Civil Peace? Democracy, Political Change, and Civil War, 1816-1992
| Unique citing works | 85 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 5,31 |
| Citation span | 2010 - 2026 (17) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 83 |