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Macroeconomic Synchronization and Policy Coordination After Regional Economic Integration in the Americas

Bibliographic Data

ID4902476
AuthorsHelen Chang (0000-0003-4422-3815, The Graduate Center, CUNY, corresponding author)
Year2011
Volume1
Issue1
Publication date2011-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueIdeAs (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1950-5701 • E-ISSN: 1950-5701
PublisherOpenEdition (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.4000/ideas.60
OpenAlexW1563626352
LanguageEN
References cited46

In spite of many significant differences between high-income and developing country partners in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), business cycle synchronization has followed increased trade integration in the post-NAFTA period. There is also some preliminary support for some convergence between Dominican Republic-Central American Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA-DR) economies post-CAFTA-DR, although it is too soon to reach any significant conclusions. Macroeconomic synchronization has important implications for policy making because it indicates the need for and benefits from policy coordination. Policy coordination with high-income partners may benefit developing country partners by reducing macroeconomic volatility and increase stability, when macroeconomic variability is due to common shocks and not country-specific shocks. Idiosyncratic volatility would require monetary and fiscal policy autonomy rather than coordination. Examining policy coordination between NAFTA states and between CAFTA-DR members, I find little evidence for policy coordination before and after implementation of the FTA. For the developing partners in NAFTA and CAFTA-DR, even as trade integration shrinks the available policy options for member states, the costs of losing policy autonomy largely outweigh the benefits of coordination because of the idiosyncratic macroeconomic variability of the developing partners

Autonomy · Business cycle · Developing country · Economic growth · Economic integration · Economics · International economics · International trade · Macroeconomics · Political science · Regional Integration · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact · Finance

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