Macroeconomic and Social-Control Policy Influences on Crime Rate Changes, 1948-1985
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 4947155 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Joel A Devine, Joseph F Sheley, M Dwayne Smith (0000-0002-8932-0072) |
| Year | 1988 |
| Volume | 53 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 407 |
| Publication date | 1988-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Sociological Review (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0003-1224 • E-ISSN: 1939-8271 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2095648 |
| OpenAlex | W1995425317 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 53 |
| References cited | 20 |
Informed by the insights of political economy, this study investigates the often-presumed though empirically elusive relationship between societal economic distress and crime. In a social-indicators model, we argue for including both unemployment and inflation rates as measures of the overall health of the economy. We contend that in the face of these destabilizing economic conditions, government engages in dualistic social control policies. On one hand, it attempts to discourage antisocial behavior via placative forms of control and, on the other, it exercises its deterrent capacities. Using annual time-series data for the period 1948-1985, we employ dynamic modeling techniques to examine these influences on annual fluctuations in rates of homicide, robbery, and burglary. The results yield mixed support for the hypothesized relationships, with the posited model gaining potency as we move from explaining more violent to less violent offenses. Finally, these findings hold when we control for changes in two other theoretically important influences: criminal opportunity and the age structure of the population. (abstract Adapted from Source: American Sociological Review, 1988. Copyright © 1988 by the American Sociological Association) Socioeconomic Factors Crime Rates 1940s 1950s 1960s 1970s 1980s Violence Rates Homicide Rates Robbery Rates Burglary Rates Crime Causes Violence Causes Economic Inequality 07-02
Criminology · Demographic economics · Economic growth · Economic inequality · Economics · Homicide · Inequality · Inflation (cosmology · Poison control · Population · Socioeconomic status · Sociology · Suicide prevention · Unemployment · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Demography · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence
Changes in the Structure of Life Courses and the Decline of Social Capital in Canadian Society
The Influence of Economic Factors and Social Control Policy on Crime Rate Changes in Canada, 1962-1988
Prison population growth and crime reduction
Incarceration and the Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns
Can Social Safety Net Spending Prevent Crime
Carrots, sticks, and environmental crime in Italy
What does (and does not) affect crime in India
Impact of petroleum development on lethal violence
Czy bieda czyni złodzieja? Związki między bezrobociem, ubóstwem a przestępczością
The Weak Effect of Imprisonment on Crime
Poverty, Income Inequality, and Violent Crime
AFDC and Homicide
The Rehabilitative Ideal versus the Criminogenic Reality
Right‐to‐carry Concealed Handguns and Violent Crime
The Effect of County-Level Prison Population Growth on Crime Rates
The ‘free’ labour market, unemployment and crime
Sociostructural Considerations of Domestic Femicide
Revisiting property crime and economic conditions
Jobs or jails? The crime drop in Texas
Crime and Inflation in Cross-National Perspective
Exploring the politics of strain
Temporal changes in racial violence, 1980 to 2006
Routine activities and adolescent deviance across 28 cultures
Social support and homicide
Problems of cross-cultural criminology no more! Testing two central tenets of Self-Control Theory across 28 nations
Adolescents as offenders, social order, and the morality of work in a postindustrial society
Law reform and social change
Crime and the Restructuring of the U.S. Economy
La criminalité favorise-t-elle l’acceptation de la carte bancaire
The Impact of Out‐of‐state Prison Population on State Homicide Rates
Female and Male Homicide Victimization Rates
A Comparison of Changes in Police and General Homicides
Assessing Messner and Rosenfeld's Institutional Anomie Theory
Race and Crime in Postwar America
Explaining Japan's Postwar Violent Crime Trends
Unemployment and Property Crime
Social Support, Inequality, and Homicide
Market and Public Policy Mechanisms in Poverty Reduction
Unemployment and crime
Beyond Carrot and Stick
Explaining Variation in State-Level Homicide Rates
Explaining Variation in State–Level Homicide Rates
Identifying the Link between Unemployment and Crime in the Philippines
The Truly Disadvantaged, Public Assistance, and Crime
Deciphering Property Crime Through OLS Regression
Economy and Race
Socioeconomic Conditions and Property Crime
Crime and Unemployment
The Relationship between Economic Hardship and Crime
Declining Violent Crime Rates in the 1990s
Development and Social Problems
The dynamic relationship between homicide rates and social, economic, and political factors from 1970 to 2000
Psychiatric Expansionism and Social Control
Regulating the poor
Time Series Analysis
The Politics of inflation and economic stagnation
Social Change and Crime Rate Trends
Thinking about crime
Incapacitation as a Strategy for Crime Control
America's Problems
Observations on the Measurement of Change
Redistribution in a Bifurcated Welfare State
Who Loses From Inflation
Unemployment, Crime, and Imprisonment
Civil Disorder, Relief Mobilization, and AFDC Caseloads
Age Structure and Crime
The Seriousness of Crimes
Unemployment and Crime Rates in the Post-World War II United States
Social Differentiation in Criminal Victimization
Unemployment and Criminal Involvement
Rates of Crime and Unemployment
A Critique of Criminology
A General Framework for Building Dynamic Macro Social Indicator Models
| Unique citing works | 53 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,56 |
| Citation span | 1992 - 2026 (35) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 51 |