Population mobility, demographic, and environmental characteristics of dengue fever epidemics in a major city in Southeastern Brazil, 2007-2015

Bibliographic Data

ID5167084
AuthorsIgor Cavallini Johansen (0000-0002-5360-3740, Universidade de São Paulo), Márcia C Castro (0000-0003-4606-2795, Harvard University), Luís C Alves (0000-0002-8598-4875, Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP)), Roberto Luiz Do Carmo (0000-0003-1063-2266, Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP))
Year2021
Volume37
Issue4
Pagese00079620-e00079620
Publication date2021-01-01
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueCadernos de Saude Publica (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0102-311X • E-ISSN: 1678-4464
PublisherFapUNIFESP (SciELO) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1590/0102-311x00079620
PMID33886707
OpenAlexW3152747232
SciELOS0102-311X2021000405003
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited40

Around 14% of world dengue virus (DENV) cases occur in the Americas, most of them in Brazil. While socioeconomic, environmental, and behavioral correlates have been analyzed thoroughly, the role played by population mobility on DENV epidemics, especially at the local level, remains scarce. This study assesses whether the daily pattern of population mobility is associated with DENV incidence in Campinas, a Brazilian major city with over 1.2 million inhabitants in São Paulo State. DENV notifications from 2007 to 2015 were geocoded at street level (n = 114,884) and combined with sociodemographic and environmental data from the 2010 population census. Population mobility was extracted from the Origin-Destination Survey (ODS), carried out in 2011, and daily precipitation was obtained from satellite imagery. Multivariate zero-inflated negative binomial regression models were applied. High population mobility presented a relevant positive effect on higher risk for DENV incidence. High income and residence in apartments were found to be protective characteristics against the disease, while unpaved streets, number of strategic points (such as scrapyards and tire repair shops), and precipitation were consistently risk factors

Census · Dengue fever · Environmental health · Geographic mobility · Geography · Incidence (geometry) · Population · Residence · Socioeconomic status · Socioeconomics · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Demography · Medicine · Mosquito-borne diseases and control · Urban Transport and Accessibility

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