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A Spatial Autocorrelation Model of the Effects of Population Density on Fertility

Bibliographic Data

ID5250324
AuthorsColin Loftin, Sally K Ward, Sally Ward
Year1983
Volume48
Issue1
Pages121
Publication date1983-02-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Sociological Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-1224 • E-ISSN: 1939-8271
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/2095150
PMID6838064
OpenAlexW2017785487
LanguageEN
Citations received42
References cited13

The relationship between fertility and population density that has been demonstrated with aggregate data is discussed and reexamined here. We argue that models which exclude considerations of spatial processes are incomplete and that therefore parameter estimates for such models are misleading. We then develop a model which incorporates spatial autocorrelation and reanalyze data from one well-known study of the effects of density on fertility using our model. The results show that with one exception the effects of density on fertility are trivial a finding that is quite different from previous research. We conclude that spatial mechanisms are an important consideration in the modeling of social processes that involve geographically defined units. (excerpt

Autocorrelation · Econometrics · Economics · Family planning · Fertility · Geography · Population · Population density · Research methodology · Sociology · Spatial analysis · Statistics · Total fertility rate · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Demography · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Mathematics · Spatial and Panel Data Analysis

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Unique citing works42
Citations per year1
Citation span1984 - 2025 (42)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 42

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