Obama's Reelection Prospects under “Bread and Peace” Voting in the 2012 US Presidential Election
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6097186 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Douglas A Hibbs (Palm Beach Research Center, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2012 |
| Volume | 45 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 635-639 |
| Publication date | 2012-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | PS Political Science & Politics (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1049-0965 • E-ISSN: 1537-5935 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/s1049096512000911 |
| OpenAlex | W2148952700 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 12 |
| References cited | 4 |
According to the Bread and Peace Model postwar, American presidential elections should be interpreted as a sequence of referendums on the incumbent party's record during its four-year mandate period. In fact postwar aggregate votes for president are well explained by just two objectively measured fundamental determinants: (1) weighted-average growth of per capita real disposable personal income over the term, and (2) cumulative US military fatalities due to unprovoked, hostile deployments of American armed forces in foreign wars. No other outside variable systematically affects postwar aggregate votes for president
Demographic economics · Economics · Mandate · Per capita · Per capita income · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Sociology · Voting · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Law · Public Administration
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| Unique citing works | 12 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,92 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2018 (6) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 9 |