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A Presidential Economic Scorecard

Performance and Perception

Bibliographic Data

ID6099490
AuthorsChris J Dolan, Chris Dolan (0000-0003-0134-2910, Lebanon Valley College), John P Frendreis (0000-0001-6026-3265, Loyola University Chicago), John Frendreis, Raymond Tatalovich (0000-0002-2670-0959, Loyola University Chicago)
Year2009
Volume42
Issue4
Pages689-694
Publication date2009-10-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenuePS Political Science & Politics (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1049-0965 • E-ISSN: 1537-5935
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1049096509990011
OpenAlexW2163971547
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited36

It is assumed that voters blame incumbents for poor economic performance but give credit when the economy is strong. A huge literature shows the impact of economic indicators and economic perceptions on vote choice and presidential popularity, but there is precious little research on whether public perceptions match economic reality. We propose a novel comparison of perceptions with performance by utilizing the Gallup Poll “most important” problem question. The average percentage that mentions unemployment, inflation, and the general economy over each presidential term from 1949 to 2008 is compared against the Presidential Economic Scorecard. The public correctly perceived unemployment and the general economy as salient national problems, but not inflation, and we speculate on why public perceptions do not correspond to actual inflation rates

Balanced scorecard · Blame · Economic growth · Economic problem · Economics · Management · Market economy · Perception · Political science · Politics · Popularity · Presidential system · Salient · Unemployment · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Psychology · Social Psychology

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year0,44
Citation span2010 - 2024 (15)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5

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