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A Scaling Model for Estimating Time‐Series Party Positions from Texts

Bibliographic Data

ID6231038
AuthorsJonathan B Slapin, Jonathan Slapin (0000-0002-6237-2868, Trinity College Dublin), Sven-Oliver Proksch (0000-0002-6130-6498, University of California, Los Angeles), Sven‐oliver Proksch
Year2008
Volume52
Issue3
Pages705-722
Publication date2008-07-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1540-5907.2008.00338.x
OpenAlexW1998151601
LanguageEN
Citations received381
References cited38

Recent advances in computational content analysis have provided scholars promising new ways for estimating party positions. However, existing text‐based methods face challenges in producing valid and reliable time‐series data. This article proposes a scaling algorithm called WORDFISH to estimate policy positions based on word frequencies in texts. The technique allows researchers to locate parties in one or multiple elections. We demonstrate the algorithm by estimating the positions of German political parties from 1990 to 2005 using word frequencies in party manifestos. The extracted positions reflect changes in the party system more accurately than existing time‐series estimates. In addition, the method allows researchers to examine which words are important for placing parties on the left and on the right. We find that words with strong political connotations are the best discriminators between parties. Finally, a series of robustness checks demonstrate that the estimated positions are insensitive to distributional assumptions and document selection

Algorithm · Data mining · Econometrics · German · Linguistics · Machine learning · Multidimensional scaling · Political science · Politics · Robustness (evolution · Scaling · Selection (genetic algorithm · Series (stratigraphy · Time series · Word (group theory · Artificial Intelligence · Computational and Text Analysis Methods · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Mathematics · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies

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Unique citing works381
Citations per year21,17
Citation span2008 - 2026 (19)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 380

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