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Does Public Support Help Democracy Survive

Bibliographic Data

ID6231291
AuthorsChristopher Claassen (0000-0001-5149-0001, University of Glasgow, corresponding author)
Year2020
Volume64
Issue1
Pages118-134
Publication date2020-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/ajps.12452
OpenAlexW2937707008
LanguageEN
Citations received201
References cited60

It is widely believed that democracy requires public support to survive. The empirical evidence for this hypothesis is weak, however, with existing tests resting on small cross‐sectional samples and producing contradictory results. The underlying problem is that survey measures of support for democracy are fragmented across time, space, and different survey questions. In response, this article uses a Bayesian latent variable model to estimate a smooth country‐year panel of democratic support for 135 countries and up to 29 years. The article then demonstrates a positive effect of support on subsequent democratic change, while adjusting for the possible confounding effects of prior levels of democracy and unobservable time‐invariant factors. Support is, moreover, more robustly linked with the endurance of democracy than its emergence in the first place. As Lipset (1959) and Easton (1965) hypothesized over 50 years ago, public support does indeed help democracy survive

Bayesian probability · Confounding · Democracy · Democratic Theory · Development economics · Econometrics · Economics · Political science · Politics · Public support · Statistics · Survey data collection · Unobservable · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Mathematics · Public Administration · Social Capital and Networks · Social Policy and Reform Studies

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Unique citing works201
Citations per year28,71
Citation span2019 - 2026 (8)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 197

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