Change in the Southern Electorate
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6232176 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Bruce A Campbell (corresponding author) |
| Year | 1977 |
| Volume | 21 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 37 |
| Publication date | 1977-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907 |
| Publisher | JSTOR (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2110446 |
| OpenAlex | W2331171600 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 21 |
| References cited | 14 |
This paper presents an analysis which measures the extent to which each of five sources of change in the party loyalties of the Southern electorate has been active during the periods 1952-1960 and 1960-1972. The measure of party loyalty is Converse's normal vote, with a set of updated parameters for the 1960-1972 period provided by Arthur H. Miller. The basic data sources are the six SRC presidential election studies ranging from 1952 to 1972, supplemented by data from the Matthews-Prothro and CSEP studies. In addition, data from the U.S. Census are used when possible in place of the estimates provided by the SRC samples. In both time periods, we find that change in the partisanship of individual Southerners is the dominant mechanism of change in the normal vote. Inand out-migration are of moderate importance, while the impacts of death and the entrance of youth into the electorate are negligible. Using Key's terminology, we find that white conversion has resembled the process of secular realignment over the past twenty years. Black conversion, on the other hand, is best interpreted as critical change, with a sharp reversal of partisanship between 1960 and 1964
Census · Converse · Demographic economics · Economics · Miller · Political science · Politics · Population · Presidential system · Sociology · Terminology · White (mutation · Demography · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Social and Cultural Dynamics
The Twilight of the Texas Democrats
Georgia
Partisan Realignment, Unconstitutional State Policies, and the U.S. Supreme Court, 1837-1964
Switching sides but still fighting the Civil War in southern politics
Party Competition and Policy Liberalism
Changing Party Loyalty of State Delegations to the U.S. House of Representatives, 1953-1976
A Dynamic Model of Partisan Competition in the American States
Realignment
Southern Partisan Changes
Explaining Recent Changes in the Partisan Identifications of Southern Whites
Class, Race Issues, and Declining White Support for the Democratic Party in the South
Predicting party identification, 1956?80
Racial Resentment and the Changing Partisanship of Southern Whites
Trading Places, Trading Platforms
The Centrality of Race in American Politics
Class Polarization in Partisanship among Native Southern Whites, 1952-90
Normal Vote Analysis
Where Is “the South”? Assessing the Meaning of Geography in Politics
Parties, candidates and issues in the German federal election of 1980
Issue Evolution, Population Replacement, and Normal Partisan Change
Party Identification, Realignment, and Party Voting
Elections and the political order
The Emerging Republican Majority
The psychology of interpersonal relations.
The People's Choice
Further Reflections on Southern Politics
A Theory of Critical Elections
Patterns of Change in the Partisan Loyalties of Native Southerners
Where the Ducks Are
Issues, Party Choices, and Presidential Votes
Electoral Myth and Reality
Two-Party Voting in the South
| Unique citing works | 21 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,45 |
| Citation span | 1979 - 2025 (47) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 21 |