Economic Fluctuations and Congressional Elections
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6232389 |
|---|---|
| Authors | John R Owens (0000-0002-0638-5648), Edward C Olson |
| Year | 1980 |
| Volume | 24 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 469 |
| Publication date | 1980-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907 |
| Publisher | JSTOR (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.2307/2110828 |
| OpenAlex | W2319621805 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 22 |
| References cited | 19 |
Previous studies have explored the longitudinal effect of changes in national income, inflation, and employment on the national congressional vote. While findings vary, on the whole the evidence appears to support the proposition that voters withhold support from congressional candidates of the presidential party during periods of economic decline and reward them with votes in good times. Here the problem is approached from a different perspective. Disaggregated data are used to build models that permit a reasonably straightforward test of the effect of local economic variation on the congressional district vote. Contrary to prevailing observations, our findings show no linear relationship between changes in the vote for individual congressional candidates and changes in real income and inflation in the 1972, 1974, and 1976 congressional elections
Demographic economics · Econometrics · Economics · Inflation (cosmology · Perspective (graphical · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential system · Proposition · Public economics · Test (biology · Variation (astronomy · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Law · Media Influence and Politics
Self-Interest and Public Interest in Western Politics
Attributing Presidential Responsibility for National Economic Problems
The Role of Self-Interest in Social and Political Attitudes
Class, crisis, and political ideology in Canada
Why Do Voters Change Their Evaluations of a President? A Taiwanese Case
Campaign spending and Senate elections, 1978?84
Economic Influences on Elections to the U. S. Congress
Solving a Puzzle
Evaluating Economic Policy
Presidential Voting and the Local Economy
Economic Partisan Advantages in Congressional Contests
Economic Conditions and Constituency Voting in Great Britain
Economic self-interest and the vote
A retrospective on retrospective voting
A Preliminary Survey of the Theories and Findings on Vote and Popularity Functions
Macroeconomic performance and government popularity in Britain
Economic Self-Interest and Political Behavior
Macroeconomic Conditions and Fluctuations of Presidential Popularity
The Electoral Impact of Economic Conditions
Economic Conditions and the Vote
Inflation, unemployment and government popularity-Dynamic models for the United States, Britain and West Germany
The Responsible Congressional Electorate
Congress, keystone of the Washington establishment
The Changing American Voter
Comment on Arcelus and Meltzer, The Effect of Aggregate Economic Conditions on Congressional Elections
Prosperity and Political Victory
Political Control of the Economy
Congress
Explaining Presidential Popularity
The Effect of Aggregate Economic Variables on Congressional Elections
Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions
Short-Term Fluctuations in U.S. Voting Behavior, 1896–1964
Economic Influences on Presidential Popularity
Public Support for American Presidents
Political Trends in Industrial America
Congressional Elections
Economic Retrospective Voting in American National Elections
The Relationship between Seats and Votes in Two-Party Systems
Insulation and Responsiveness in Congressional Elections
The Economic Factor in the Roosevelt Elections
Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson
| Unique citing works | 22 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,49 |
| Citation span | 1981 - 2017 (37) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 22 |