Economic Influences on Elections to the U. S. Congress
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 7329372 |
|---|---|
| Authors | John R Owens (0000-0002-0638-5648, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1984 |
| Volume | 9 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 123-123 |
| Publication date | 1984-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Legislative Studies Quarterly (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0362-9805 • E-ISSN: 1939-9162 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.2307/439523 |
| OpenAlex | W2323259822 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 4 |
| References cited | 29 |
This article examines economic voting at the congressional district level. Analysis of over 600 congressional races in the years 1976, 1978, and 1980 provides little evidence that economic conditions in the district affect the congressional vote. Using a contextual model, measures of the economic attitudes of individuals based on the 1978 National Election Study, combined with measures of district economic conditions, produce a statistically significant discriminant function for Republican party identifiers. However, the model's ability to discriminate between those voting Democratic and those voting Republican (according to the theory of economic voting) was only slightly better than results that would have been obtained by random classification. Given this evidence, serious doubts must be raised about the widely held belief that the 435 individual congressional elections serve collectively as a national referendum on the government's management of the economy
Economics · Political economy · Political science · Positive economics · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Political Influence and Corporate Strategies · Public Administration
Unsafe at any margin
Congress, keystone of the Washington establishment
Discriminant Analysis
Home Style
An economic theory of democracy
The Changing American Voter
Comment on Arcelus and Meltzer, The Effect of Aggregate Economic Conditions on Congressional Elections
Prosperity and Political Victory
Political Control of the Economy
Voting behavior and aggregate policy targets
Congress
The Effect of Aggregate Economic Variables on Congressional Elections
Voter Response to Short-Run Economic Conditions
The Impact of Economic Conditions on Presidential Popularity
Economic Influences on Presidential Popularity
Public Support for American Presidents
Party Government and the Saliency of Congress
Trend in Personal Finances and the Vote
Perceived Economic Competency and the Ford/Carter Election
Congressional Elections
Economic Fluctuations and Congressional Elections
Probing the Bounds of Conventional Wisdom
Economic Discontent and Political Behavior
Economic Retrospective Voting in American National Elections
The Relationship between Seats and Votes in Two-Party Systems
The Effect of Incumbency on Voting in Congressional Elections, 1964-1974
The Economic Factor in the Roosevelt Elections
The American Party Systems
Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson
| Unique citing works | 4 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,1 |
| Citation span | 1985 - 1995 (11) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 4 |