When Payouts Pay Off
Conditional Cash Transfers and Voting Behavior in Brazil 2002–10
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6232473 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Cesar Zucco (0000-0001-8263-9585, Escola Brasileira de Administração Pública e de Empresas, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2013 |
| Volume | 57 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 810-822 |
| Publication date | 2013-10-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | American Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0092-5853 • E-ISSN: 1540-5907 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/ajps.12026 |
| OpenAlex | W2156351396 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 155 |
| References cited | 28 |
This article estimates the electoral effects of conditional cash transfers (CCTs) in three presidential elections in Brazil. It analyzes municipal‐level electoral results and survey data and employs matching techniques to reduce causal inference problems typical of observational studies. Results show that CCTs are associated with increased performance by the incumbent party presidential candidate in all three elections but that these effects have been reaped by incumbents from different parties. It also shows that CCTs have had no discernible impacts on party identification and the performance of incumbent parties in legislative elections. Together, these findings suggest that CCTs are significant in the short run, but lack the capacity to induce substantial long‐term voter realignments
Cash · Cash transfers · Causal inference · Conditional cash transfer · Econometrics · Economic growth · Economics · Identification (biology · Inference · Legislature · Macroeconomics · Matching (statistics · Observational study · Political science · Politics · Presidential system · Public economics · Randomized experiment · Statistics · Voting · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Politics and Society in Latin America · Poverty, Education, and Child Welfare
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| Unique citing works | 155 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 11,92 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2026 (14) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 153 |