Business Cycles, Political Cycles and the Popularity of Canadian Governments, 1974–1998
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6235880 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Richard Johnston (0000-0003-0051-1225, University of British Columbia, corresponding author) |
| Year | 1999 |
| Volume | 32 |
| Issue | 3 |
| Pages | 499-520 |
| Publication date | 1999-09-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Canadian Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0008-4239 • E-ISSN: 1744-9324 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/s0008423900013949 |
| OpenAlex | W1978558493 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 8 |
| References cited | 25 |
This article examines the popularity of Canadian governments between 1974 and 1998 as revealed by the monthly Gallup poll. Approval of each majority government in the 1974–1993 period underwent a cycle of honeymoon, decay and recovery. Underneath the cycle was a long-term downward trend. A simple politicoeconomic model accounts for a large fraction of long-term decay and helps explain the anti-government landslides of 1984 and 1993. But the model leaves inter-election popularity cycles largely unexplained. After 1993, the economy ceased to account for popularity and a wholly new, but apparently stable, electoral cycle emerged. The article concludes with speculation on causes of and contingency in electoral cycles
Business cycle · Contingency · Economics · Government (linguistics · Honeymoon · Macroeconomics · Market economy · Monetary economics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Popularity · Speculation · Term (time · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Law
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| Unique citing works | 8 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,36 |
| Citation span | 2004 - 2025 (22) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 8 |