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Executive Constraint and Sovereign Debt

Quasi-Experimental Evidence From Argentina During the Baring Crisis

Bibliographic Data

ID6245239
AuthorsGary W Cox (0000-0002-9256-5193, Stanford University, CA, USA), Sebastián Saiegh (0000-0002-7508-7804, University of California San Diego, corresponding author), Sebastian M Saiegh (University of California, San Diego, CA, USA)
Year2018
Volume51
Issue11
Pages1504-1525
Publication date2018-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueComparative Political Studies (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0010-4140 • E-ISSN: 1552-3829
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0010414018774363
OpenAlexW2800260559
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited23

The literature on whether executive constraint improves the credibility of sovereign debt takes the political regime as the unit of analysis, typically computing an average yield or price for each regime, and then relating that average to regime characteristics. In this article, we take the individual bond issue as the unit of analysis, examining quasi-experimental evidence from two Argentine sovereign debts issued in the 1880s. The loans were sought by the same government and offered nearly identical terms to borrowers, except that one was funded and the other was unfunded. The loans sold at virtually the same price until the Baring crisis of November 16, 1890 erupted. Thereafter, their price histories diverged markedly. We analyze the market’s evolving valuation of the two loans before and after the Baring crisis using a difference-in-differences estimator and weekly price data. Our study shows that exposure to executive discretion strongly influences market assessments of value

Constraint (computer-aided design · Credibility · Debt · Economics · Financial economics · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Political science · Politics · Sovereign debt · Sovereignty · Valuation (finance · Value (mathematics · Finance · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Global Financial Crisis and Policies · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year1,4
Citation span2021 - 2025 (5)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 7

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