Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Between Dissolution and Blood

How Administrative Lines and Categories Shape Secessionist Outcomes

Bibliographic Data

ID6269632
AuthorsRyan D Griffiths (0000-0001-5816-4284, corresponding author)
Year2015
Volume69
Issue3
Pages731-751
Publication date2015-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Organization (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-8183 • E-ISSN: 1531-5088
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0020818315000077
OpenAlexW2163915448
LanguageEN
Citations received31
References cited51

Common wisdom and current scholarship hold that governments need to stand firm in the face of secessionist demands, since permitting the secession of one region can set a precedent for others. For this reason governments will often choose blood rather than risk dissolution. I argue that administrative organization provides states with a third option. Those regions that represent a unique administrative type stand a much better chance of seceding peacefully. Moreover, large articulated states sometimes downsize by administrative category, which helps explain why governments will release one set of units without contest while preventing another set from doing the same. Finally, secessionist movements that do not cohere with any administrative region are the least likely to be granted independence. In sum, the administrative architecture of states provides governments with a means to discriminate between secessionist demands. I test this theory in a large-N study using original data on secessionist movements and administrative units between 1816 and 2011

CONTEST · Economics · Independence (probability theory · Law and economics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Scholarship · Secession · Set (abstract data type · Computer Science · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Post-Soviet Geopolitical Dynamics

  • How States Die

    Douglas Lemke•How States Die•2025

  • Age of Secession

    Open Access•Ryan D Griffiths•Age of Secession•2016

  • The economics of state fragmentation

    Open Access•Jo Reynaerts, Jakob Vanschoonbeek•Journal of Applied Econometrics•2022

  • Handbuch Poststrukturalistische Perspektiven auf soziale Bewegungen

    Open Access•Judith Vey, Johanna Leinius et al.•Handbuch Poststrukturalistische…•2019

  • Administrative unit proliferation in parliamentary systems

    Open Access•Murat Abus, Sabri Ciftci•Electoral Studies•2026

  • The Relevance of Language as a Predictor of the Will for Independence in Catalonia in 1996 and 2020

    Open Access•Jordi Argelaguet i Argemí•Politics and Governance•2021

  • Secessionist Strategy and Tactical Variation in the Pursuit of Independence

    Open Access•Ryan D Griffiths•Journal of Global Security Studies•2020

  • Why Do States Fight Some Secessionists but Not Others? The Role of External Security

    Ahsan I Butt•Journal of Global Security Studies•2017

  • Making exit costly but efficient

    Open Access•Martijn Huysmans, Christophe Crombez•Constitutional Political Economy•2019

  • Public discourse about autonomous regions and de facto states

    Open Access•William O’brochta•Studies in Ethnicity and…•2024

  • Reconsidering the Contested State in Post-1945 International Relations

    Open Access•Shpend Kursani•International Studies Review•2020

  • Do International Rules and Norms Apply to Nonstate Actors

    Open Access•Douglas Lemke•International Studies Review•2019

  • Selbstbestimmung und Gewalt

    Open Access•Friederike Luise Kelle•Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft•2017

  • Re-Imagin(in)g Territorial Conflict

    Open Access•H E Goemans, Hein Goemans et al.•Annual Review of Political Science•2025

  • Secessionist conflict as diversion from inequality

    Open Access•Valery Dzutsati•Conflict Management and Peace…•2021

  • International Recognition and Religion

    Nikola Mirilovic, David S Siroky•International Interactions•2016

  • Permission to Secede? The Impact of Foreign Endorsements on Attitudes Toward Separatist Movements

    Open Access•Stephanie Wright, Ala Alrababah et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2025

  • International recognition, religion, and the status of Western Sahara

    Open Access•Nikola Mirilovic, David S Siroky•Acta Politica•2021

  • Does Fiscal Federalism Deter or Spur Secessionist Movements? Empirical Evidence from Europe

    Martin Rode, Hans Pitlik et al.•Publius The Journal of Federalism•2017

  • Nationalism

    Open Access•Harris Mylonas, Maya Tudor•Annual Review of Political Science•2021

  • Intra-ethnic divisions and disagreement over self-determination demands in ethnic movements

    Open Access•Frederik Gremler, Manuel Vogt et al.•Political Science Research and…•2025

  • Declarations of Independence after the Cold War

    Open Access•Argyro Kartsonaki, Aleksandar Pavković•Nations and Nationalism•2021

  • The strategies of counter‐secession

    Open Access•Peter Krause•Nations and Nationalism•2022

  • SDM

    Open Access•Nicholas Sambanis, Micha Germann et al.•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2018

  • Does Violent Secessionism Work

    Open Access•Ryan D Griffiths, Louis M Wasser•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2019

  • The Geography of Separatist Violence

    Open Access•D Bruce Carter, David B Carter et al.•International Studies Quarterly•2022

  • Demand for Statehood

    Open Access•Joowon Yi•International Studies Quarterly•2023

  • Is Self-determination Contagious? A Spatial Analysis of the Spread of Self-Determination Claims

    Open Access•Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham, Katherine Sawyer•International Organization•2017

  • When elites concede

    Heather Sullivan•Democratization•2024

  • Shaping states into nations

    Open Access•Carl Müller-Crepon, Carl Müller‐crepon et al.•American Journal of Political…•2025

  • Reputation, concessions, and territorial civil war

    Open Access•Nils-Christian Bormann, Burcu Savun•Journal of Peace Research•2018

  • The Dynamic of Secession

    Open Access•Viva Ona Bartkus•The dynamic of secession•1999

  • Right-sizing the State

    Brendan O'Leary, Ian S Lustick et al.•Rightsizing the state•2001

  • Secessionism

    Jason Sorens•Secessionism•2012

  • The Foreign Policy of Counter Secession

    James Ker-Lindsay, James Ker‐lindsay•The Foreign Policy of Counter…•2012

  • Recognizing States

    Mikulas Fabry•Recognizing states•2010

  • Ending Empire

    Hendrik Spruyt•Ending Empire•2005

  • Nationalist Mobilization and the Collapse of the Soviet State

    Open Access•Mark R Beissinger•Nationalist Mobilization and the…•2002

  • Predation, reputation, and entry deterrence

    Open Access•Paul Milgrom, John Roberts•Journal of Economic Theory•1982

  • The chain store paradox

    Open Access•Reinhard Selten•Theory and Decision•1978

  • Quasi-States

    Open Access•Robert H Jackson•Quasi-States•1991

  • Subversive Institutions

    Open Access•Valerie Bunce•Subversive Institutions•1999

  • Reputation and Civil War

    Open Access•Barbara F Walter•Reputation and Civil War•2009

  • The Ties That Divide

    Stephen M Saideman•The Ties That Divide•2001

  • The Foundations of Ethnic Politics

    Open Access•Henry E Hale•Foundations of Ethnic Politics•2008

  • The Creation of States in International Law

    B B Jia•Chinese Journal of International…•2007

  • Peoples, Territorialism and Boundaries

    Martin Shaw, M N Shaw•European Journal of International…•1997

  • Secession and the invisible hand of the international system

    Open Access•Ryan D Griffiths, Ryan Griffiths•Review of International Studies•2014

  • The narrow gate

    Open Access•Oyvind Osterud•Review of International Studies•1997

  • Containing Nationalism

    John Torpey, Michael Hechter•Contemporary Sociology A Journal…•2001

  • The self-determination of minorities in international politics

    Peter Vales, Peter Vale•International Affairs•1992

  • Nations without States

    Francis Fukuyama, James Minahan et al.•Foreign Affairs•1996

  • Drawing a Better Line

    Open Access•Sidney Ratner, Steven R Ratner•American Journal of International…•1996

  • Ethnic groups in conflict

    Donald L Horowitz•Ethnic groups in conflict•2000

  • The Construction of Grievance

    Open Access•Edward Aspinall•Journal of Conflict Resolution•2007

  • The Making of the Territorial Order

    Open Access•D Bruce Carter, David B Carter et al.•International Organization•2011

  • Friends in High Places

    Open Access•Bridget Coggins•International Organization•2011

  • Information, Uncertainty, and the Decision to Secede

    Barbara F Walter•International Organization•2006

  • Building Reputation

    Open Access•Barbara F Walter•American Journal of Political…•2006

  • The Political Economy of Imperialism, Decolonization and Development

    Open Access•Erik Gartzke, Dominic Rohner•British Journal of Political…•2011

  • Indivisible Territory, Geographic Concentration, and Ethnic War

    Monica Duffy Toft, Monica Toft•Security Studies•2002

  • International hierarchies and contemporary imperial governance

    Open Access•J C Sharman•European Journal of International…•2013

  • Armed conflict, 1946-2010

    Open Access•Lotta Themnér, Peter Wallensteen•Journal of Peace Research•2011

  • Separatism as a Bargaining Posture

    Open Access•Erin K Jenne, Stephen M Saideman et al.•Journal of Peace Research•2007

  • Ideas and Foreign Policy

    Open Access•Robert Jervis•Political Science Quarterly•1994

  • Armed Conflicts, 1946-2011

    Open Access•Lotta Themnér, Peter Wallensteen•Journal of Peace Research•2012

  • Understanding strategic choice

    Open Access•Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham•Journal of Peace Research•2013

  • Discrimination in International Relations

    Open Access•Stephen M Saideman•Journal of Peace Research•2002

  • Letting Go Without a Fight

    Open Access•Benjamin E Goldsmith, B He et al.•Journal of Peace Research•2008

  • Divide and Conquer or Divide and Concede

    Open Access•Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham•American Political Science Review•2011

  • Ideas & Foreign Policy

    Francis Fukuyama, Judith Goldstein et al.•Foreign Affairs•1994

  • Ethnicity, Insurgency, and Civil War

    James D Fearon, David D Laitin•American Political Science Review•2003

  • The Declaration of Independence

    Open Access•David Armitage•Declaration of Independence•2007

  • The Dynamics of Secession

    Open Access•Michael Hechter•Acta Sociologica•1992

Unique citing works31
Citations per year3,1
Citation span2016 - 2026 (11)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 31

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae