Targeting the government in the referendum
The aborted 2016 Italian constitutional reform
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6276089 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Damon Di Mauro (0000-0001-8807-6322, Sapienza University of Rome, corresponding author), Danilo Di Mauro, Vincenzo Memoli (0000-0002-8271-2057, University of Catania) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 133-154 |
| Publication date | 2018-07-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Italian Political Science Review/Rivista Italiana di Scienza Politica (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0048-8402 • E-ISSN: 2057-4908 |
| Publisher | Cambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1017/ipo.2017.31 |
| OpenAlex | W2792466363 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 3 |
| References cited | 21 |
This study investigates the factors explaining voting in the 2016 Italian referendum on constitutional reform. As we show through voting alignments within the Parliament and key aspects of the electoral campaign, this was a case where the government took the leadership of the entire referendum process, transforming it into a plebiscite. Within this context, we hypothesize that key elements explaining voting choices follow a government-support vs. opposition dynamics. Employing Italian National Elections Studies Association pre/post-referendum survey, we estimate the effects of factors increasing predictability (e.g. party closeness, ideology, social cleavage) or uncertainty (e.g. government performance, the economy) of voting choices. The resulting logistic regression models show that the leading role of the government in the referendum reshapes the impact of factors explaining voting choices. While some lose significance, others follow a pro- or anti-government logic
Closeness · Economics · First-past-the-post voting · Government (linguistics · Opposition (politics · Parliament · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Public economics · Referendum · Turnout · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Media Influence and Politics · Populism, Right-Wing Movements · Public Administration
Presidentialization, Italian Style
Europe in Question
The presidentialization of politics
Challenge of Direct Democracy
Understanding electoral politics in contemporary Italy
Renzi
Referendum design, quorum rules and turnout
Referendum outcomes and trust in government
How Parties Affect Vote Choice in European Integration Referendums
News matters
European integration, voters and national politics
Consensus and direct democracy
Do voters have a cue? Television advertisements as a source of information in citizen–initiated referendum campaigns
Opinion change and voting behaviour in referendums
Cleavages, parties and referendums
Learning from the Danish case
Referendum Voting
Economic voting
Busy Voters, Agenda Control, and the Power of Information
| Unique citing works | 3 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,38 |
| Citation span | 2018 - 2021 (4) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |