Counterattack or Delay

Characteristics Influencing Decision Makers' Responses To the Simulation of an Unidentified Attack

Dados Bibliográficos

ID6283564
AutoresCharles F Hermann (Mershon Center Ohio State University), Margaret G Hermann (Mershon Center Ohio State University), Robert A Cantor (Mudge, Rose, Guthrie & Alexander Washington, D.C.)
Ano1974
Volume18
Fascículo1
Páginas75-106
Data de publicação1974-03-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditoraSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/002200277401800104
OpenAlexW2024355202
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas2
Referências citadas12

This paper reports a secondary analysis of a series of simulation runs which explored the effects of a broad array of variables on a nation's response to an imminent strategic attack from an unidentified source. Seven variables appeared as important in determining whether a nation would counterattack or delay retaliation when given such a warning. These variables include availability of a weapon survivability system, the economic and force capabilities of the nation, the decision makers' perceptions of the degree of tension in the world and of the degree of ambiguity in the situation, as well as the decision style and level of self-esteem of the decision makers. The results suggest that factors other than the invulnerability of weapon systems are involved in maintaining the stability of deterrence in an extreme crisis

Ambiguity · Computer security · Counterattack · Deterrence theory · Economics · Perception · Political science · Survivability · Terrorism · Complex Systems and Decision Making · Computer Science · Law · Military Strategy and Technology · Psychology · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence