The Contagion of Drug Violence
Spatiotemporal Dynamics of the Mexican War on Drugs
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6283754 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Javier Osorio (0000-0002-4548-7794, John Jay College of Criminal Justice, City University of New York, New York, NY, USA, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 59 |
| Issue | 8 |
| Pages | 1403-1432 |
| Publication date | 2015-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002715587048 |
| OpenAlex | W2405424589 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 99 |
| References cited | 29 |
Why are some territories ravaged by intense levels of criminal violence while others are relatively peaceful? This research contributes to an understanding of the escalation and diffusion of drug violence in Mexico from 2000 to 2010 by formalizing the interactions between the state and organized criminals and by relying on a large database of event data containing more than 1.6 million observations. Results based on spatial econometrics provide evidence of the spatial diffusion of violence. In congruence with the theoretical expectations, the results show that the disruptive effect of law enforcement is an important catalyst for the intensification of violence between criminal organizations, especially when deployed in areas hosting a high concentration of criminal groups. This relationship holds for a broad menu of violent and nonviolent law enforcement tactics. The analysis also reveals that other broadly held factors (international, geographic, and socioeconomic characteristics) have a modest effect on the dynamics of drug-related violence
Criminology · Econometrics · Economics · Enforcement · Geography · Law enforcement · Political science · Population · Socioeconomic status · Sociology · Spatial econometrics · Agricultural risk and resilience · Crime Patterns and Interventions · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Demography · Law · Psychology
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Does Exposure to Community Violence Predict Higher Suicide Rates? The Case of Mexico
Narco-Messages
The Art of Trafficking
The impact of arrest and seizure on drug crime and harms
Perceptions of Danger
Public health and international drug policy
Venta de drogas y control policial en Rincón Grande de Pavas
Predicting police and military violence
Imbalance in spatiotemporal analysis of narcotics-related activities
Why Are Some Drug Markets More Violent than Others? An Analysis of Violence Using Fuzzy Logic
The diversification of drug trafficking organizations
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The perfect storm. An analysis of the processes that increase lethal violence in Mexico after 2006
Violent disequilibrium
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“Pick up anything that moves”
Chasing Cocaine along the Caribbean Coast
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Local violence and transitions to marriage and cohabitation in Mexico
Community Violence and the Stability of Marriages and Cohabitations in Mexico
Pax Monopolista or the Rule of Law ? The enforcer’s dilemma in reputational criminal wars
Violencia en Tierra Caliente
Path-Dependent Criminality
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The international regime of drug control may violate the human right to life and security
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On the Multiple Sources of Violence in Drug Markets
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Limiting aggressive policing can reduce police and civilian violence
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Translating Cameo verbs for automated coding of event data
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The Consequences of Community Violence for Contraceptive Use and Provision in Mexico
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Does “green gold” breed bloody violence? The effect of export shocks on criminal violence in Mexico
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Land titling and political alternation
Demand and Supply of Criminal Governance
Hybrid Governance in Northeastern Mexico
Criminal Politics
Oil Theft and Violence in Mexico
Fabricated justice
How Criminal Organizations Expand to Strong States
Spatial Tools for Case Selection
Criminal fragmentation in Mexico
Increasing intergovernmental coordination to fight crime
The Militarization of Law Enforcement
Opportunity Without Organization
Understanding Mexico’s Drug Violence
Transferring Violence? Mafia Killings in Nontraditional Areas
A Bargaining Theory of Criminal War
Exporting Murder
Smuggling and Border Enforcement
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Living in Fear
The Human Costs of the War on Drugs. Attitudes Towards Militarization of Security in Mexico
Collusion, Co-Optation, or Evasion
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Mano dura
Defending the Status Quo? How Re-election Shapes Criminal Collusion in Mexico
Militarization and Perceptions of Law Enforcement in the Developing World
Structural Disorganization
The conceptual puzzle of violent non-state actors in Latin America
Obstetric violence in the context of community violence
Coercive Inclusion in the Mexican War on Drugs
Law enforcement at the margin of the law
Disappearing dissent? Repression and state consolidation in Mexico
Introducing xSub
Organized criminal violence and territorial control
Institutionalized Police Brutality
Cultivating Violence
Strategic Resources for Drug Trafficking Organizations and the Geography of Violence
The Drug Kingpin Decapitation Strategy in Guatemala
The Great Neoliberal War
Collusion and Violence in Underground Drug Markets
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SPLM
Notes on Continuous Stochastic Phenomena
Sex, Drugs, and Body Counts
The Political Economy of Narco-Corruption in Mexico
Media Bias, Perspective, and State Repression
Inequality and Violent Crime
Greed and grievance in civil war
Trafficking Networks and the Mexican Drug War
Does illegality breed violence? Drug trafficking and state-sponsored protection rackets
Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia
Estimation of higher‐order spatial autoregressive cross‐section models with heteroscedastic disturbances
Local Indicators of Spatial Association—Lisa
Cross-Border Spillover
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Understanding Mexico’s Drug Violence
The Strategy of Territorial Conflict
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Warlord Competition
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| Unique citing works | 99 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 9 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2027 (13) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 95 |