The Dimension of Superpower Rivalry
A Dynamic Factor Analysis
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6284160 |
|---|---|
| Authors | John T Williams (0000-0002-0647-6144), Michael D Mcginnis (Indiana University) |
| Year | 1992 |
| Volume | 36 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 86-118 |
| Publication date | 1992-03-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002792036001004 |
| OpenAlex | W2146795718 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 9 |
| References cited | 39 |
The security policies of the United States and the Soviet Union can be interpreted as manifestations of a single “rivalry system.” If each state's security policies are driven by the same underlying factors, then any effort to separate the contributions of internal and external determinants of the arms race is essentially misleading. We use dynamic factor analysis to evaluate whether an unobservable dimension of rivalry explains the dynamics exhibited by the military expenditures and diplomatic hostility of these two states. A one-factor model explains much of the variance of these data series, although some evidence indicates the possible existence of a second factor. More generally, the results of this analysis question the validity of many structural equation models of dyadic interaction
Dimension (graph theory · Econometrics · Economics · Hostility · Microeconomics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Rivalry · Superpower · Unobservable · Variance (accounting · Defense, Military, and Policy Studies · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Mathematics · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Social Psychology
The empirical importance of enduring rivalries
Conflict management in enduring rivalries
Measurement of Competition between Powers
Measurement Models for Time Series Analysis
Policy Uncertainty in Two-Level Games
A Bayesian Poisson Vector Autoregression Model
Dynamic Analysis with Latent Constructs
The Investigation of Substitutability in Foreign Policy
Cycles in Politics
Arms and insecurity
Some Contributions to Maximum Likelihood Factor Analysis
Macroeconomics and Reality
Essence of Decision
Structural Equations with Latent Variables
Social Choice and Individual Values
Inquiry, Logic, and International Politics
Arms Race and Military Expenditure Models
Dynamic Properties of the U.S. Military Expenditure Decision-Making Process
Arms Race Models
Discontinuities in the symbolic environment
The Long Peace
Sophisticated Reaction in the U.S.-Soviet Arms Race
Social Choice and Individual Values
Soviet Decisionmaking for National Security
U.S.-Soviet-Chinese Relations
A Reactive Linkage Model of the U.S. Defense Expenditure Policymaking Process
U.S. Defense Spending and the Soviet Estimate
Mathematical Models of the U.S. Military Expenditure Decision-making Process
International Relations Theory, Foreign Policy Substitutability, and “Nice” Laws
Contiguity and Military Escalation in Major Power Rivalries, 1816-1980
Estimating Dynamic Models Using Kalman Filtering
Systematic Sampling, Temporal Aggregation, and the Study of Political Relationships
Armaments, Detente, and Bureaucracy
Richardson, Rationality, and Restrictive Models of Arms Races
Arms Race Instability and War
The Conflict and Peace Data Bank (Copdab) Project
Three Puzzles in Search of a Researcher
Evolving Foreign Policy Norms
Event Count Models for International Relations
A Cybernetic Model of the US Defense Expenditure Policymaking Process
Vector Autoregression and the Study of Politics
Differential Paths to Parity
Change and Stability in Superpower Rivalry
| Unique citing works | 9 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,26 |
| Citation span | 1992 - 2012 (21) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 9 |