A Measure for Crisis Instability with an Application to Space-Based Antimissile Systems
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6284786 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Barry O''Neill, Barry O’neill (Northwestern University, corresponding author), Barry O'Neill (Northwestern University) |
| Year | 1987 |
| Volume | 31 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 631-672 |
| Publication date | 1987-12-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002787031004005 |
| OpenAlex | W2109974925 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 8 |
| References cited | 17 |
Crisis instability is the danger of war due to each side's fear that the other is about to attack. An index is defined to measure the degree of instability in a situation and is justified by a set of persuasive criteria that any such measure should satisfy, and also by a set of axioms based in the theory of games. Some past measures are summarized and compared. In the second part, we give a simple quantitative model of a nuclear exchange and look at the stability consequences of changing various weapons parameters and of adding a space-based missile defense system, with and without submarines. Defenses tend to harm stability unless they are both very large and designed so that the government that strikes first does not have a relative advantage in attacking the opponent's defenses
Adversary · Axiom · Computer security · Economics · Government (linguistics · Harm · Instability · Mathematical economics · Measure (data warehouse · Physics · Set (abstract data type · Space (punctuation) · Computer Science · Guidance and Control Systems · Mathematics · Military Defense Systems Analysis · Military Strategy and Technology · Psychology · Social Psychology
Two-Person Cooperative Games
Deterrence and Defense
The MX ICBM and National Security
Preserving the ABM Treaty
How to Avoid Monad-And Disaster
Confidence in Crisis
Cooperation under the Security Dilemma
Decision Making during International Crises
Measuring Strategic Stability with Two-Strike Nuclear Exchange Models
Deterrence versus Defense
The Offensive/Defensive Balance of Military Technology
The Theory of Games and the Problem of International Cooperation
Assuring Strategic Stability in an Era of Détente
| Unique citing works | 8 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,21 |
| Citation span | 1987 - 1993 (7) |
| Citation velocity | historical |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 8 |