Initial Crisis Reaction and Poliheuristic Theory
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6285014 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Karl Derouen (University of Canterbury), Christopher Sprecher (Texas A&M University) |
| Year | 2004 |
| Volume | 48 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 56-68 |
| Publication date | 2004-02-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002703260271 |
| OpenAlex | W2171277589 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 24 |
| References cited | 49 |
Poliheuristic (PH) theory models foreign policy decisions using a two-stage process. The first step eliminates alternatives on the basis of a simplifying heuristic. The second step involves a selection from amongthe remaining alternatives and can employ a more rational and compensatory means of processing information. The PH model posits that strategic/realist factors are more important in the second step of the process. The model is tested for the years 1918 to 1994, using crisis actors from the International Crisis Behavior data set. Results show that domestic political loss has a negative impact on the use of violence in response to a crisis trigger. Contiguity, joint democracy, and trigger are also significant in the expected directions. Relative capabilities have a positive impact, and enduring rivals do not appear more likely to use violence against each other as a first response in a crisis
Contiguity · Democracy · Econometrics · Economics · Foreign policy · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Process (computing · Set (abstract data type · Computer Science · International Development and Aid · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Political Conflict and Governance
A poliheuristic analysis of the Euphrates Shield operation in Syria
Key Concepts in the Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign Policy Decision Making
The MAD Heuristic and the Nuclear Revolution
A Pragmatic Response to an Unexpected Constraint
Delineating the Scope Conditions of the Poliheuristic Theory of Foreign Policy Decision Making
Third Parties and the Arab-Israeli Conflict
Turkey and Cyprus
Chinese Choices
Applied Decision Analysis
A Dynamic Framework for Analyzing Foreign Policy Decision Making
The Poliheuristic Research Program
Decision-Making Meets Negotiation
A poliheuristic analysis of South Korea’s responses towards North Korea’s missile tests
The Status of Likelihood Claims in International Relations and Peace Science
Near crises in world politics
No table necessary? Foreign policy crisis management techniques in non-state actor-triggered crises
Emotional politics of norm hierarchy in EU’s external relations
Scholarship on India’s International Relations
Is it cohesion or diversion? Domestic instability and the use of force in international crises
Contextualizing and Critiquing the Poliheuristic Theory
How Do Leaders Make Decisions
The limits of authoritarian solidarity
Poliheuristic Theory and Crisis Decision Making
Political Fragility and the Timing of Conflict Mediation
Triangulating Peace
Integrating Cognitive and Rational Theories of Foreign Policy Decision Making
The Causes of War
The Cybernetic Theory of Decision
The War Puzzle
A Study of Crisis
Adaptive strategy selection in decision making.
Elimination by aspects
Task complexity and contingent processing in decision making
The Decision Not to Use Force at Dien Bien Phu
Decisionmaking on War and Peace
Problem Representation in Foreign Policy Decision-Making
Problem Identification in Sequential Policy Decision Making
War and Peace in International Rivalry
The Power of Human Cognition in the Study of World Politics
Does Decision Making Matter
The political incentive explanation of “democratic peace”
Conflict management of enduring rivalries
The contagiousness of coercion
The Divided Decision-Maker
Mathematical models of foreign policy decision-making
The Dynamics of Enduring Rivalries
Theory of international politics
Hot Hand
Stages in Group Decision Making
The Influence of Domestic and International Politics on the President's Use of Force
Degrees of Difficulty
The Decision to Attack Iraq
Causes of Peace
Rationalist explanations for war
The search for order in a disorderly world
A Unified Statistical Model of Conflict Onset and Escalation
Normative and Structural Causes of Democratic Peace, 1946-1986
Winners or Losers? Democracies in International Crisis, 1918-94
Human Nature in Politics
The President and the Political Use of Force
The Effect of Dynamic and Static Choice Sets on Political Decision Making
Assessing the Dyadic Nature of the Democratic Peace, 1918-88
Compensatory Choice Models of Noncompensatory Processes
| Unique citing works | 24 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,09 |
| Citation span | 2004 - 2025 (22) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 24 |