Exploring the Dynamics of the Democratic Peace

Bibliographic Data

ID6285535
AuthorsLars-Erik Cederman (0000-0002-8511-0617, Harvard University), Mohan Penubarti Rao (Director, InteCap, Inc.)
Year2001
Volume45
Issue6
Pages818-833
Publication date2001-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002701045006006
OpenAlexW1988462493
LanguageEN
Citations received22
References cited37

In quantitative models of international conflict, the variables' causal effects are generally assumed to be constant over historical time. Yet, qualitative liberal theorizing, especially that of Immanuel Kant, has tended to emphasize a dynamic perspective based on the theme of progress. To bridge this gap between method-imposed stasis and theoretical dynamics, a framework featuring time-varying parameters is applied to the democratic peace hypothesis. The model strongly confirms a dynamic reinterpretation of Kant's theory. Results show that dispute probabilities decline steadily among democratic states over time, and the democratic peace hypothesis is not just a transient cold war effect. This result is robust to statistical control involving geopolitical and liberal control variables, including alliances, capabilities, and economic development

Democracy · Economics · Geopolitics · Interpretation (philosophy · Perspective (graphical · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Positive economics · Regime change · Reinterpretation · Sociology · Theme (computing · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law · Mathematics · Peacebuilding and International Security · Political Conflict and Governance

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