Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Learning and foreign policy

Sweeping a Conceptual Minefield

Bibliographic Data

ID6270891
AuthorsJack S Levy (0000-0003-3278-9088, Rutgers, the State University of New Jersey, corresponding author)
Year1994
Volume48
Issue2
Pages279-312
Publication date1994-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueInternational Organization (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-8183 • E-ISSN: 1531-5088
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s0020818300028198
OpenAlexW2041685217
LanguageEN
Citations received329
References cited86

Do political leaders learn from historical experience, and do the lessons of history influence their foreign policy preferences and decisions? It appears that decision makers are always seeking to avoid the failures of the past and that generals are always fighting the last war. The “lessons of Munich” were invoked by Harry Truman in Korea, Anthony Eden in Suez, John Kennedy in the Cuban Missile Crisis, Lyndon Johnson in Vietnam, and George Bush in the Persian Gulf War. The “lessons of Korea” influenced American debates about Indochina, and the “lessons of Vietnam” were advanced in debates about crises in the Persian Gulf and in Bosnia. Statesmen at Versailles sought to avoid the mistakes of Vienna and those at Bretton Woods, the errors of the Great Depression. Masada still moves the Israelis, and Kosovo drives the Serbs. Inferences from experience and the myths that accompany them often have a far greater impact on policy than is warranted by standard rules of evidence. As J. Steinberg argues, in words that apply equally well to the Munich analogy and the Vietnam syndrome, memories of the British capture of the neutral Danish fleet at Copenhagen in 1807 (the “Copenhagen complex”) “seeped into men's perceptions and became part of the vocabulary of political life,” and it influenced German decision making for a century

Art history · Economic history · Foreign policy · German · Mythology · Paradise · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · Vietnam War · Balkan and Eastern European Studies · Classics · History · International Relations and Foreign Policy · Law

  • Difficult Partnerships

    Open Access•Deborah A Brautigam, Deborah Brautigam et al.•Latin American Politics and Society•2007

  • Learning from Foreign Models

    Open Access•Carol Wise•Latin American Politics and Society•2006

  • Kennedy, Kroutchev et les missiles de Cuba (Partie 4)

    Open Access•Jean-Yves Haine, Jean‐Yves Haine•Cultures & conflits/Cultures et…•2000

  • Thumos, War, and Peace

    Richard Ned Lebow•Common Knowledge•2015

  • Scorecard Diplomacy

    Open Access•Judith G Kelley•Scorecard Diplomacy•2017

  • Military Threats

    Open Access•Branislav L Slantchev•Military Threats•2011

  • Shrinking the State

    Jeffrey M Chwieroth•Constructing the International…•2015

  • Cognitive Approaches to Foreign Policy Analysis

    Aaron Rapport•Civil Disobedience and…•2017

  • Who matters for memory

    Open Access•Heidi Hardt•The Review of International…•2018

  • Introduction

    Open Access•Andreas Kruck, Kai Oppermann et al.•Political Mistakes and Policy…•2018

  • Blocked Learning in Greece

    Open Access•Thenia Vagionaki•Learning in Public Policy•2018

  • Role Identities and the Operational Codes of Political Leaders

    Stephen G Walker•Advances in political psychology•2004

  • Warning about War

    Chiara De Franco, Christoph O Meyer et al.•Warning about War•2019

  • Understanding Foreign Policy Decision Making

    Open Access•Alex Mintz, Karl Derouen et al.•Understanding Foreign Policy…•2010

  • War and Peace in International Rivalry

    Paul F Diehl, Gary Goertz et al.•War and Peace in International…•2000

  • Towards a theory of inter-organizational networking

    Open Access•Rafael Biermann•The Review of International…•2008

  • Conflict Management Trajectories in Militarized Interstate Disputes

    Open Access•Andrew P Owsiak•International Studies Review•2014

  • Argument and Change in World Politics

    Open Access•Neta C Crawford•Argument and Change in World…•2002

  • Introduction

    Open Access•Beth A Simmons, Frank Dobbin et al.•Global Diffusion of Markets and…•2008

  • Social-ecological Resilience and Social Conflict

    Victor Galaz•AMBIO•2005

  • Competence Development and Evaluation Dynamics in the Context of Learning

    Open Access•Ensieh Roud, Riana Steen et al.•Risk, Hazards & Crisis in Public…•2026

  • Opposition learning in the Middle East and North Africa

    Open Access•André Bank•Mediterranean Politics•2026

  • Policy Learning

    Open Access•Bishoy L Zaki•Policy Studies Journal•2026

  • Fact or fear? Elite and public opinion on the misuse of foreign aid

    Open Access•Bernhard Reinsberg, Haley J Swedlund•West European Politics•2026

  • Embracing the Maverick

    Open Access•Luís Miguel Da Vinha, Anthony Dutton•Central European Journal of…•2022

  • From crisis to inquiry

    Open Access•Wout Broekema, Wouter Jong et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2025

  • Experimentation, policy learning, and China's education reforms

    Open Access•Shuangmiao Han, Haodong Fu•International Journal of…•2022

  • An analytical framework for postmortems of European foreign policy

    Open Access•Nikki Ikani, Aviva Guttmann et al.•Intelligence & National Security•2020

  • Can Germany learn from Ukraine? Resilience in a time of polycrisis

    Open Access•Fabian Burkhardt•Journal of Contemporary Central…•2026

  • The 2017 incidents in the Aegean and Turkish foreign policy

    Open Access•Vasileios P Karakasis•Journal of Southeast European and…•2019

  • The Forum on China–Africa Cooperation

    Fanie Herman•Africa Review•2018

  • Understanding Intelligence Community Innovation in the Post-9/11 World

    Lars Nicander, Lars D Nicander•International Journal of…•2011

  • The Power of Deterrence

    Open Access•Amir Lupovici•Power of Deterrence•2016

  • Public Inquiries, Policy Learning, and the Threat of Future Crises

    Alastair Stark•Public Inquiries, Policy…•2018

  • Neoclassical realism, policy paradigms and strategic change

    Open Access•Ellis Mallett, Nicholas Kitchen•International Relations•2023

  • Cultural images and foreign policy learning

    Open Access•P Mendes•Cambridge Review of International…•2026

  • Fighting Past Economic Wars

    Open Access•Stephen B Kaplan•Latin American Research Review•2022

  • The Limits and Potential of Authoritarian Adaptiveness in Volatile Political Orders

    Open Access•Sarah Dorr•Europe Asia Studies•2026

  • Intelligence and Strategy

    Richard H Immerman•Diplomatic History•2008

  • Nudging through Consensus

    Chin-Hao Huang, Arjun Jayaraman•Asian Survey•2021

  • History vs. Neo-realism

    Colin Elman, Miriam Fendius Elman et al.•International Security•1995

  • Norbert Elias y el análisis de las relaciones internacionales

    Open Access•Guillaume Devin•Colombia Internacional•2005

  • A supranational regime that nationalizes social conflict

    Roland Erne•Labor History•2015

  • Realism and America's Rise

    Sean M Lynn-Jones•International Security•1998

  • Learning from Ukraine

    Yuliia Kurnyshova, Andrey Makarychev•Journal of Contemporary Central…•2025

  • Neutral Diplomacy in a Divided Europe

    Open Access•H S Shalabi, Hossam Elsayed Z Shalabi•Contemporary Review of the Middle…•2026

  • Leadership in international populism

    Open Access•Martijn Mos, Igor Macedo Piovezan•New Perspectives•2024

  • Why American grand strategy has changed

    Nicholas Kitchen•Global Affairs•2020

  • Learning in European Union peacebuilding

    Michael E Smith•Global Affairs•2018

  • Understanding renewable energy policy adoption and evolution in Europe

    Open Access•Shan Zhou, Daniel C Matisoff et al.•Energy Research & Social Science•2019

  • Politics, audience costs, and signalling

    Open Access•James R Schlesinger, Jayme R Schlesinger et al.•European Journal of International…•2021

  • Fear and Loathing

    Michael D Cohen•Journal of Global Security Studies•2017

  • Experience counts

    Open Access•Joseph Daniel Ura, Carla Flink•Research & Politics•2016

  • From Europe’s past to the Middle East’s future

    Open Access•Grégoire Mallard•American Journal of Cultural…•2017

  • The Reform of the Lisbon Strategy’s Governance Framework - is ‘New Governance’ the Way Forward

    Open Access•Carlo Chiatelli•Journal of Contemporary European…•2007

  • The reputation trap of NGO accountability

    Open Access•Stephen E Gent, Mark J C Crescenzi et al.•International Theory•2015

  • Looking forward to the past

    Open Access•Djouaria Ghilani, Olivier Luminet et al.•Memory Studies•2017

  • Narrative, Ontological Security, and Foreign Policy Change

    Open Access•Jelena Subotić•Foreign Policy Analysis•2015

  • Learning for Legitimacy

    Open Access•Daniel F Wajner•Foreign Policy Analysis•2019

  • The 1920-1945 Shift in US Foreign Policy Orientation

    Open Access•William R Thompson•Foreign Policy Analysis•2014

  • Foreign Policy Analysis

    Open Access•Valerie M Hudson•Foreign Policy Analysis•2005

  • Emotion and Strategic Learning in War

    Open Access•Thomas M Dolan•Foreign Policy Analysis•2014

  • Psychological Characteristics of Leaders (PsyCL)

    Open Access•Mark Schafer, Joshua E Lambert•Foreign Policy Analysis•2022

  • International Treaty Ratification and Leader Turnover

    Open Access•Tobias Böhmelt•Foreign Policy Analysis•2018

  • Conceptualizing in the Minefield

    Open Access•Sebastian Harnisch•Foreign Policy Analysis•2011

  • Leaders' Cognitive Complexity, Distrust, and the Diversionary Use of Force

    Open Access•Dennis Foster, Dennis M Foster et al.•Foreign Policy Analysis•2013

  • Foreign Policy Analysis and Armed Non-State Actors in World Politics

    Open Access•Mahmud Darwich•Foreign Policy Analysis•2021

  • Live and Learn

    Michael D Cohen•Foreign Policy Analysis•2016

  • Simple vs. Complex Learning Revisited

    Open Access•Guy Ziv•Foreign Policy Analysis•2012

  • Coalitions and Foreign-Policy-Making

    Open Access•Nicolas Blarel, Niels Van Willigen•European Political Science•2016

  • Analyser l'exportation des normes au-delà de l'Union européenne

    Elsa Tulmets•Politique européenne•2015

  • The Shape of Elite Opinion on U.S. Foreign Policy, 1992 to 2004

    Open Access•Chris Dolan•Politics & Policy•2008

  • Crisis Management Europe

    Eric Stern, Bengt Sundelius•International Studies Perspectives•2002

  • Transatlantic Relations after the Cold War

    John S Duffield•International Studies Perspectives•2001

  • Political Leadership Changes and the Withdrawal from Military Coalition Operations, 1946-2001

    Open Access•Ulrich Pilster, Tobias Böhmelt et al.•International Studies Perspectives•2013

  • The Collapse of East European Communism and the Repercussions within the Soviet Union (Part 2)

    Mark Kramer•Journal of Cold War Studies•2004

  • The Korea Syndrome

    Bradford Ian Stapleton•Journal of Cold War Studies•2015

  • The Collapse of East European Communism and the Repercussions within the Soviet Union (Part 3)

    Mark Kramer•Journal of Cold War Studies•2005

  • The Guns That Didn't Smoke

    Andrew Bennett•Journal of Cold War Studies•2005

  • Exploring the Keynesian–Ordoliberal Divide. Flexibility and Convergence in French and German Leaders’ Economic Ideas During the Euro-Crisis

    Femke Van Esch•Journal of Contemporary European…•2014

  • Political transition, policy learning and failures to learn

    Charles Wharton Kaye-Essien•International Development…•2020

  • Uncertainty and War Duration

    Zachary C Shirkey•International Studies Review•2016

  • Populist Foreign Policy

    Open Access•Daniel F Wajner, Philip Giurlando•International Studies Review•2023

  • Trusting relationships, learning bureaucrats

    Open Access•Ozsel Beleli•Global Social Policy•2021

  • Memory as the Return of the Repressed for Social Research

    Vincent Druliolle•Journal of Spanish Cultural Studies•2012

  • Coalitions of change

    Open Access•Mark Hibben•Journal of International…•2013

  • Mechanisms of Policy Change

    José Real-Dato•Journal of Comparative Policy…•2009

  • Identity, status and role in UK foreign policy

    Open Access•Mark Webber•International Politics•2023

  • Remember Iraq!’ Learning theory and the 2013 non-decision on air strikes against Syria

    Open Access•Hans Mouritzen•International Politics•2020

  • Testing the world order

    Open Access•Scott Feinstein, Scott G Feinstein et al.•International Politics•2021

  • Developing security community in the Western Balkans

    Open Access•Suzette R Grillot, Rebecca J Cruise et al.•International Politics•2009

  • Explaining the negotiation of EU foreign policy

    Open Access•Daniel C Thomas•International Politics•2009

  • Changing Commitments

    Open Access•Niklas Karlén•Civil Wars•2021

  • Joining by Number

    Zachary C Shirkey•Civil Wars•2016

  • Understanding the EU’s Global Gateway through the lens of role theory

    Open Access•Flávio Bastos da Silva•The British Journal of Politics…•2026

  • Embracing Humanitarian Intervention

    Open Access•David M Mccourt, David McCourt•The British Journal of Politics…•2012

  • Examining the impact of learning about a resolved conflict on attitudes in an ongoing conflict

    Open Access•Deborah Shulman, Michal Reifen-Tagar et al.•Group Processes & Intergroup…•2025

  • Regional diffusion of post-Islamism? Ennahda’s lessons from Turkey’s AKP and Morocco’s PJD

    Aline De Oliveira Alencar•Contemporary Politics•2025

  • Sino-Japanese Engagement in the Making of China’s National Champions

    Wendy Leutert•New Political Economy•2021

  • Statecraft and international intervention

    Open Access•Nir Levitan•Israel Affairs•2023

  • Ambiguity and choice in organizations

    James G March•Ambiguity and choice in…•1979

  • History and human relations.

    Sir Herbert Butterfield•History and human relations.•1951

  • Children and Politics

    Fred I Greenstein, Fredxs Greenstein•Political Socialization•2017

  • Handbook of Social Psychology

    Daniel Todd Gilbert, Gardner Lindzey et al.•Handbook of Social Psychology•2012

  • The Cybernetic Theory of Decision

    John D Steinbruner, John Steinbruner•Cybernetic Theory of Decision•1974

  • When Knowledge Is Power

    Ernst B Haas•When Knowledge Is Power•1990

  • Analogies at War

    Open Access•Yuen Foong Khong•Analogies at War•1992

  • Nuclear Deterrence Theory

    Open Access•Robert Powell•Nuclear Deterrence Theory•1990

  • The War Puzzle

    Open Access•John A Vasquez•War Puzzle•1993

  • U.S. International Monetary Policy

    John S Odell, John Odell•U. S. International Monetary Policy•1982

  • Rational Choice and the Framing of Decisions

    Amos Tversky, Daniel Kahneman•The Journal of Business•1986

  • Bayesian statistical inference for psychological research.

    Ward Edwards, Harold Lindman et al.•Psychological Review•1963

  • Organizational Learning

    George P Huber•Organization Science•1991

  • Behavior, society, and nuclear war

    Philip E Tetlock•Behavior, society, and nuclear war•1989

  • Knowledge, power, and international policy coordination

    Peter M Haas•Knowledge, power, and international…•1996

  • The logic of images in international relations.

    Robert Jervis•The logic of images in…•1970

  • An evolutionary theory of economic change

    Richard R Nelson•An evolutionary theory of…•1982

  • Social learning theory

    Albert Bandura•Social learning theory•1977

  • Agendas, alternatives, and public policies

    John W Kingdon•Agendas, alternatives, and public…•1995

  • The Limits of Safety

    Open Access•Scott D Sagan•Limits of Safety•1993

  • Collective Learning

    Ernst B Haas, Ernst Haas•Learning in U. S. and Soviet…•2019

  • Ideas and Foreign Policy

    Judith Goldstein, Robert O Keohane•Ideas and Foreign Policy•2019

  • Learning in U.S. and Soviet Foreign Policy

    George Breslauer, George W Breslauer et al.•Learning in U. S. and Soviet…•2019

  • Perception and Misperception in International Politics

    Robert Jervis•Perception and Misperception in…•2017

  • Ideas and Foreign Policy

    Judith Goldstein, Robert O Keohane•Ideas and Foreign Policy•1993

  • Learning in U.S. and Soviet Foreign Policy

    Philip E Tetlock•Learning in U. S. and Soviet…•2019

  • Where Is the Schema? Going Beyond the “S” Word in Political Psychology

    Open Access•James H Kuklinski, Robert C Luskin et al.•American Political Science Review•1991

  • Origins of Containment

    Deborah Welch Larson•Origins of Containment•1985

  • Preferences, Constraints, and Choices in July 1914

    Jack S Levy•International Security•1990

  • The Sources and Prospects of Gorbachev's New Political Thinking on Security

    Stephen M Meyer•International Security•1988

  • Mobilization and Inadvertence in the July Crisis

    Jack S Levy, Thomas J Christensen et al.•International Security•1991

  • Accountability and complexity of thought

    Philip E Tetlock•Journal of Personality and Social…•1983

  • The Copenhagen Complex

    Open Access•Jonny Steinberg, Jonathan Steinberg•Journal of Contemporary History•1966

  • The limits of safety

    Theo Farrell•International Affairs•1994

  • Neorealism and its critics

    Barry Buzan•International Affairs•1986

  • Origins of Containment

    Gaddis Smith, Deborah Welch Larson•Foreign Affairs•1985

  • U.S.-Soviet Security Cooperation

    Gregory F Treverton, Alexander L George et al.•Foreign Affairs•1988

  • Never Again

    Gaddis Smith, Earl C Ravenal•Foreign Affairs•1978

  • Myths of Empire

    Jack Snyder•Myths of Empire•2018

  • Nuclear learning and U.S.–Soviet security regimes

    Open Access•Joseph S Nye•International Organization•1987

  • Handbook of social psychology

    Susan T Fiske, Daniel Todd Gilbert et al.•Handbook of social psychology•2010

  • Theory of international politics

    Kenneth Neal Waltz•Theory of international politics•1979

  • Internal Battles and External Wars

    Open Access•Sarah E Mendelson•World Politics•1993

  • Ideas, Institutions, and the Gorbachev Foreign Policy Revolution

    Open Access•Jeffrey T Checkel, Jeff Checkel•World Politics•1993

  • Divergent Learning and the Failed Politics of Soviet Economic Reform

    Open Access•James Clay Moltz•World Politics•1993

  • What Makes Deterrence Work? Cases from 1900 to 1980

    Open Access•Paul Huth, Bruce Russett•World Politics•1984

  • Ideology and Learning in Soviet Third World Policy

    Open Access•George W Breslauer•World Politics•1987

  • The “Lessons” of Vietnam and Soviet Foreign Policy

    Open Access•William Zimmerman, Robert Axelrod•World Politics•1981

  • The Cognitive Structure of Peacemaking

    Zeev Maoz, Allison Astorino•Political Psychology•1992

  • Prospect Theory and International Relations

    Jack S Levy•Political Psychology•1992

  • From London to Bretton Woods; Sources of Change in Bargaining Strategies and Outcomes

    Open Access•John S Odell, John Odell•Journal of Public Policy•1988

  • Political Conflict and Lesson-Drawing

    Open Access•David Brian Robertson, David Robertson•Journal of Public Policy•1991

  • Militarized Interstate Disputes, 1816-1976

    Open Access•Charles S Gochman, Zeev Maoz•Journal of Conflict Resolution•1984

  • When Will They Ever Learn

    Open Access•Russell J Leng•Journal of Conflict Resolution•1983

  • Socialization and hegemonic power

    Open Access•G John Ikenberry, Charles A Kupchan•International Organization•1990

  • The emergence of cooperation

    Open Access•Emanuel Adler•International Organization•1992

  • Power and Interdependencerevisited

    Open Access•Robert O Keohane, Joseph S Nye•International Organization•1987

  • Integrative complexity of American and Soviet foreign policy rhetoric

    Philip E Tetlock•Journal of Personality and Social…•1985

  • When people ask "why" questions, and the heuristics of attributional search

    Paul T P Wong, Paul T Wong et al.•Journal of Personality and Social…•1981

  • Opportunity, Incrementalism, and Learning in the Extension and Retraction of Soviet Global Commitments

    Celeste A Wallander•Security Studies•1992

  • Changing Course

    Charles F Hermann•International Studies Quarterly•1990

  • Policy Paradigms, Social Learning, and the State

    Peter A Hall•Comparative Politics•1993

  • The Carter Administration's Quest for Global Community

    Alexander Moens, Jerel A Rosati•International Journal Canada s…•1991

  • Ideas and Foreign Policy

    Open Access•Robert Jervis•Political Science Quarterly•1994

  • Herbert Butterfield, History and Human Relations

    W M Brewer•The Journal of Negro History•1952

  • Ideas & Foreign Policy

    Francis Fukuyama, Judith Goldstein et al.•Foreign Affairs•1994

  • Reputation and Hegemonic Stability

    Open Access•James E Alt, James Ε Alt et al.•American Political Science Review•1988

  • Crisis Learning Games

    Open Access•Russell J Leng•American Political Science Review•1988

  • Decisions and Organizations

    Jean-G Padioleau•Sociologie du Travail•1989

Unique citing works329
Citations per year10,28
Citation span1994 - 2026 (33)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 325

Tools

Open DOISci-Hub
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae