The Effect of Curfews on Political Preferences

Bibliographic Data

ID6285835
AuthorsDeniz Aksoy (0000-0002-9013-1025, Department of Political Science, Washinton University in St Louis, Saint Louis, MO, USA, corresponding author), Andrew Menger (Vanderbilt University), M Tavits (0000-0002-6443-1550, Department of Political Science, Washinton University in St Louis, Saint Louis, MO, USA)
Year2023
Volume67
Issue1
Pages94-121
Publication date2023-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/00220027221109788
OpenAlexW4283750583
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited57

Governments often use curfews as counterinsurgency measures. Do such state actions affect citizens’ political preferences? We argue that citizens’ responses depend on their group alignment. Citizens who are aligned with the government are more likely to interpret state actions as serving their interests and reward the governing parties as a result. Citizens who are aligned with the insurgent movement, however, are likely to interpret these same actions as targeted and disengage from politics: they have no reason to reward the governing parties and may also be fearful of expressing support for the parties affiliated with the insurgent movement. We find support for this argument with survey data from Turkey, fielded before and during curfews. When exposed to curfews, Turks generally increase their support for the governing party. However Kurds do not increase their support for the governing party or the opposition; instead, we present strong evidence that they withdraw their support from the Kurdish opposition and become more hesitant to express any political preferences

Affect (linguistics · Argument (complex analysis · Government (linguistics · Opposition (politics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Sociology · State (computer science · Survey data collection · Computer Science · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Religion and Society Interactions · Social Psychology

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